Former Gov. Mitt Romney is the early front-runner in Florida’s Republican presidential primary, and he was the only Republican challenger who led President Barack Obama in a general election match-up there (43 percent to 42 percent), according to a Suffolk University/7NEWS (WSVN-Miami) poll of registered voters in Florida.
Republican voters said their top choice for a nominee was Romney (33 percent), followed by Mike Huckabee (14 percent), Newt Gingrich (9 percent), Donald Trump (8 percent) and Sarah Palin (8 percent), with 17 percent undecided.
Thinking about the 2012 Republican Primary for President of the United States, if the candidates were (RANDOMIZE), for whom will you vote or toward whom would you LEAN at this time?
Mitt Romney 33%
Mike Huckabee 13%
Newt Gingrich 9%
Sarah Palin 8%
Donald Trump 8%
Haley Barbour 4%
Tim Pawlenty 3%
Ron Paul 2%
Michele Bachmann 1%
Mitt Romney 42/43/10 (+1)
Mike Huckabee 44/41/11 (-3)
Newt Gingrich 47/36/13 (-11)
Tim Pawlenty 41/28/25 (-13)
Michele Bachman 45/30/19 (-15)
Donald Trump 49/34/12 (-15)
Sarah Palin 52/34/10 (-18)
Ron Paul 48/30/18 (-18)
Haley Barbour 47/26/22 (-21)
The statewide survey of 600 Florida registered voters was conducted April 10-12, 2011. The margin of error is +/-4 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence. Marginals and full cross-tabulation data will be posted at 6 p.m. Wednesday, April 13, 2011, on the Suffolk University Political Research Center Web site.
The Full Story is HERE.
Marginals can be viewed HERE.
Crosstabs can be viewed HERE.
Today on the Chris Matthews Show, Matthews and a panel of John Heilemann-New York Magazine; Alex Wagner-Politics Daily; Kelly O’Donnell-NBC News; Chuch Todd-NBC News, discuss Mitt Romney in the first of Matthews series, 12 For ’12:
RIGHT CLICK the photo below. Click on “Open link in new Window”. The video should load and then start for you.
Former Mass. Gov. Mitt Romney holds a commanding lead in New Hampshire in the early stages of the race for the 2012 Republican Presidential nomination, according to a new survey commissioned by NH Journal and conducted by Magellan Strategies. The survey is the first statewide survey of Granite State Republicans and Republican-leaning independents in 2011.
New Hampshire Poll Results for 2012 GOP Field:
Romney Dominates Early NH Polling
Mitt Romney 39%
Sarah Palin 16%
Mike Huckabee 10%
Newt Gingrich 8%
Tim Pawlenty 4%
Rick Santorum 3%
Haley Barbour 1%
Full Analysis HERE. Interactive cross tabs below:
Bob Abernethy host of Religion and Ethics NewsWeekly on PBS discuses issues ahead in 2011 with Kevin Eckstrom (Editor of Religious News Service), Kim Lawton (Managing Editor of Program), and EJ Dionne (Senior Fellow, Brookings Institution). Among the topics that were discussed were the upcoming race for the Republican nomination for President.
Here is the text from the Romney segment:
ABERNETHY: Now you were referring earlier to the fact that the beginning of 2011 may well seem like the beginning of the election campaign of 2012, E.J.
DIONNE: Right, and I think you’re going to see some sort of interesting positioning inside the Republican Party. I mean, we still don’t know if Sarah Palin is or is not going to run for president. Sarah Palin seems to be more representative of the Tea Party side of the right, although she has clearly some Christian conservative support. Mike Huckabee is going to be competing with her as the spokesperson for Christian conservatives, but every Republican running for president wants a piece of that vote, because it is such an important vote in the Republican primaries, and that’s going to start right now. It’s already started, before the show went on the air
ECKSTROM: And I think something worth watching there is Mitt Romney, who is at the front of a lot of these polls, these straw polls, whether or not he tries to make the case about his Mormon faith again with the evangelical base. A lot of people say, you know, he did that; he doesn’t need to do it again. Other people say that he’s never going to win them over; there’s a certain amount of the base that’s just never going to accept a Mormon candidate. So I think it will be interesting to watch how he navigates the Mormon question.
Here is the video of the entire program. To view the 2012 race comments fast forward to the 15:00 minute mark:
As far as I’m concerned, the answer to the Mormon faith question for Mitt Romney in 2012 is, been there, done that. I believe it’s only an ongoing issue for those folks with a personal agenda or those who would prefer one of the other candidates instead.
Anyone who puts a high priority on family values, a strong work ethic, fiscal conservatism, and a vast and successful background and experience in business, the private and public sectors, and takes a hard look at Mitt Romney, will know immediately that he is equipped to help turn around the economy and to put America back on the right path towards better times.
The Washington Post’s Chris Cillizza of The Fix ranks the top 10 potential Republican candidates for President in 2012 as of Today. We’ll just post the juicy details of the top three finishers here; be sure to head over to read Cillizza’s full analysis of all ten contenders at WaPo:
10. Jim DeMint: 9. Mike Pence: 8. Mitch Daniels: 7. John Thune: 6. Haley Barbour: 5. Mike Huckabee: 4. Tim Pawlenty:
3. Newt Gingrich: One well-connected Iowa operative was recently detailing the massive amounts of time — and money — that the former House Speaker had spent in the Hawkeye State over the last two years. That got us to thinking about the possibility that we have been underestimating Gingrich in our 2012 calculations. What he has: name identification, the ability to raise money and more policy proposals than Antoine Dodson has You Tube hits. (And you said we couldn’t get an Antoine Dodson reference into the Fix!) What he doesn’t: a demonstrated ability to stay on message day after day in the cauldron of a presidential race. Still, if Gingrich runs, and he sounds like he is going to, he is a major force. (Previous ranking: 6)
2. Sarah Palin: Palin has begun to break out of her Twitter/Facebook cocoon to interact with the mainstream media of late. Basic political analysis would suggest that Palin’s newfound love — ok, that may be too strong a word — for the press means that she is trying to re-shape her public image in advance of a run for president. But, as we have written many times, basic political analysis doesn’t often apply to Palin. it’s just as likely that this media tour is the result of a snap decision made by Palin and her top/only political adviser (aka First Dude Todd Palin). Who knows? What we do know is that Palin is the only person on the Line who could get 10,000 people to show up and see her next weekend in Iowa. And that’s worth something. (Previous ranking: 2)
1. Mitt Romney: Romney’s op-ed in opposition to the tax compromise proved that the former Massachusetts governor is deserving of our top spot. He effectively positioned himself in opposition to not just Obama but also congressional Republicans — a very good place to be given the anti-establishment sentiment among the GOP electorate these days. Romney has, by far, the most advanced political organization of anyone in the field and his ability to self-fund gives him a leg up financially over his potential competitors. Romney’s weaknesses — his difficulty in connecting on the stump, his Mormonism, his flip-flops on social issues — are well known and real. But, Romney seems a more measured and mature candidate than he was in 2008. Whether that resonates with primary and caucus voters remains to be seen. (Previous ranking: 1)
Is this a fair assessment? Let’s hear your thoughts.
TPMDC confirmed today what many of us already know: Mitt Romney can beat President Obama, and is the best candidate to do so. More importantly, they just have some of the best interactive graphics available that shows the WHY, WHERE and HOW.
The only Republican presidential contender consistently leading President Obama in 2012 polling is former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney. The failed 2008 presidential candidate is showing some early signs of Mitt-Mentum, currently leading President Obama 45.6% to 44.3% in the TPM Poll Average of national polls. The latest boost to Romney’s numbers came over the weekend in a McClathcy-Marist poll that gave Romney a 46%-44% edge over President Obama in a head-to-head matchup.
From Gallup: In general, Republicans (including Republican-leaning independents) are at least twice as likely to identify as conservative as they are to identify as moderate or liberal. Thus, it is crucial for any potential Republican candidate to appeal to conservatives, especially given the Tea Party movement’s influence in deciding nominations for Congress in 2010.
More information about the poll can be found HERE.
End-of-the-year political assessments shadow the arrival of the New Year such as Helen Thomas dogs Robert Gibbs. Giving a nod to our man Mitt, The Economist dubs Mitt Romney the presidential frontrunner for the Republican nomination 2012:
• Dec 31st 2009 - The Economist | NEW YORK
WE ARE hours away from ringing in the new year, and most Americans will be happy to leave 2009 behind. Only 46% of respondents in our latest poll described 2009 as a good year, and the reasons are obvious: unemployment is hovering around 10%, whole cities are collapsing, America is still mired in two seemingly endless wars, and the threat of terrorism persists. So what of the politicians who are supposed to deal with these problems? How did they fare in 2009? “Not well” would be the obvious answer, but I’ve asked my colleagues to consider who (or what) were the biggest winners and losers of the year. Here’s what they had to say:
New York: In a year when the unemployment rate rose by nearly three percentage points, there can be few winners. On the Republican side, Mitt Romney earns points simply for not being Bobby Jindal, Mark Sanford, Mike Huckabee or Sarah Palin, all of whom had missteps in 2009 (though Ms Palin could just as easily be called a winner since her love/hate numbers seem to rise in tandem). It’s still some way off, but Mr. Romney now seems the frontrunner for the 2012 Republican presidential nomination.