Waking Up? Hispanics in NV and CO

The Hispanic Leadership Fund has just released a number of videos that are having a profound affect on the Hispanic communities in Nevada and Colorado! Given the tight race in these two states, the Hispanic vote is critical. By every measure; social and family values, economics, immigration and foreign policy, the Hispanic community should be aligned with Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan. The positions, values and principles espoused by Mitt Romney serve the needs of the Hispanic community, as they do the needs of all Americans. Those who have immigrated to the US from Latin countries are some of the hardest working people I know, and they are as aligned with Mitt Romney and the majority of Americans on family and social values.

Take a look at these videos and share where you can in key swing states. This needs to go viral in our Hispanic communities.

English Version

Spanish Version

This is Why Romney Will Win! America Has Awakened.

Although briefly mentioned in the Rasmussen and Gallup Polls, the energy and support behind Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan is not simply a statistic, it is a physical manifestation of people who are committed to something greater than self – real, everyday people like Gina in Colorado (see below). Numbers or statistics do not accurately reveal how substantive and consequential this energy and movement truly is for change in America! Millions of Americans have awakened to Romney’s call; a call to believe in, and restore, America to his founding principles of freedom and liberty; a call to take back what has been lost these past four years; a call to carry on the torch of freedom lifted by the ‘greatest generation’ that has preceded us!

Mitt Romney is not just drawing crowds of people in the tens of thousands in Ohio, Florida, Virginia, Colorado, Nevada and elsewhere; he is drawing crowds of energized Americans who are coming together with a purpose, and to a cause that is greater than any one of us. Mitt Romney has inspired us again and millions of Americans are seeing the reality of what can be with true leadership in things that matter. We are no longer left to wallow in the wastelands of false hope and hype, nor are we wont to be relegated to the oppression and decline of the past four years. As Americans, we are wont to leave a free and stronger America to our progeny. We have found in Mitt Romney a leader who puts his country and fellow countrymen first, and who can, through experienced leadership, restore this great nation to its exceptional role in the world.

Having spoken with some who attended the rally at Red Rock, Colorado, where 10,000+ gathered, I have learned that there was a contingent of Democrats who interceded before the secured entry, and with presumed authority sought to turn away the crowds saying that Red Rock was full, hopeful that they could disrupt attendance at the rally. In spite of this deception, people were not dissuaded and pressed on, many having walked nearly 5 miles to and from the amphitheater to see and hear Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan. The energy is real and is manifest in each who has attended rallies around America.

Below is an inspiring story of Gina who attended in Red Rock. Gina typifies the feelings and expressions of the tens of millions who are standing with Mitt Romney – standing and sustaining Mitt Romney with confidence in his proven capacity, experience and message to lead our nation!

Let us not doubt the impact we can have as we come together in this great cause.

New Gallup Poll Should Have Chicago Sweating…Profusely

SPOILER ALERT: In this post I’ll tell you why polls are looking very good for Mitt, but will also conclude by saying it only matters if we all dig in, do our part to get out the vote. So click the “ComMITTed” link!

I’ve now seen three commentaries on the latest Gallup poll, and they’re telling a consistent story: Chigago is, or should be, sweating profusely about these latest polling numbers. And the evidence is they are.

The Eye Candy: National Polls.

National polls are great and continue to give encouraging news of a Mitt 2-4% lead. The RealClearPolitics average of polls gives Mitt a solid 1% edge. The latest poll in that group, a Rasmussen poll of 1,500 likely voters from October 25 to October 27 (yesterday), gives Mitt a 3% lead. The underlying data show Mitt is winning more Republicans (90%) than Obama is Democrats (85%), but the big news on the national front is that Mitt is leading among independents by 11%. But national polls are really the eye candy of the presidential politics. Fun to look at, but in the end, not what will make the difference.

Where the Rubber Meets the Road: State Polls

What’s really important, as we all know, is what happens in the electoral college. So what about those swing states? Well, there’s good news there, too, even if there’s lots of work to be done. Rasmussen’s electoral college map, based on Rasmussen’s own polling in each state, shows Mitt leading or tied in the critical swing states of Florida (50%/48%), Virginia (50%/47%), Colorado (50%/46%), Iowa (48%/48%), New Hampshire (50%/48%), Wisconsin (49%/49%) and, perhaps most importantly, Ohio (48%/48%). Given Mitt was behind in these states a couple weeks ago, and the press’ coronation of Obama as the narrow winner of the last two debates, the trends here are in the right direction: Mitt is gaining when it counts, and Mitt has an ability to improve, while Obama, who the voters have known for four years, is more likely to drop. Other states are also narrowing: Minnesota and Pennsylvania are closer than expected, if still leaning Obama. And no one thought Wisconsin would be tied a few weeks ago. If you don’t like Rasmussen’s numbers, you can turn to RealClearPolitics’ collection of polls and resulting electoral college map. RCP reports similar numbers for each of those states. It shows Virginia, Colorado and New Hampshire in a closer race, with Obama having a slight lead in Iowa, Wisconsin and Ohio, with Mitt continuing to make inroads.

So national and state polling shows it’s a very close race, Obama has a miniscule and shrinking lead in states he needs to win, and Mitt is either tied or within easy striking distance in all the same states. Very encouraging for a challenger.

But…there’s more.

The Zinger: the Latest Gallup Poll

The real story is that Gallup poll. Neil Stevens of Red State dissects Gallup’s numbers and says:

We always talk about the independent, swing vote in elections because those tend to be the persuadables. But party ID numbers matter as well, because those partisan voters tend to split better than 90/10 for their party.

It is for that reason that Gallup’s new partisan ID split, one that mimics what Rasmussen has been saying all along, predicts nothing less than doom for the Democrats, and a solid, national win for Mitt Romney this year.

…the numbers are brutal. In 2008, the Democrats had a 39-29 (D+10) advantage in hard party ID, and a 54-42 (D+12) advantage with leaners. In 2012 though, we’re in the post-TEA party era. Republicans now show a 36-35 (R+1) hard party ID advantage, and a 49-46 (R+3) lead with leaners. This gives us a range of party ID swings from 2008, from R+11 to R+15.

[Emphasis added.]

What does this mean? In a tight election with key swing states on the edge and voter turnout key, more of those voters self-identifying as Republicans than Democrats this year means things may be better than they look on the surface of the polls. Mr. Stevens then goes further and says what these numbers would mean if plugged into his own electoral college model. It generates an estimate of the electoral college results if more voters self-ID as Republican versus his baseline year. Here’s the picture:


(more…)

Swing-State Sunday Newspapers Receive ‘Mittzine’

Look what’s coming out tomorrow in about 4.5 MILLION Sunday papers…

Mittzine!

It’s an informative, colorful, 12-page publication titled Decision 2012: Who are the Romneys? and is similar to ‘Parade’ and other Sunday inserts. Not only does it feature the Romney family biography, it has a page with stories about Paul Ryan, a chart comparing Obama with The Gov, Romney’s leadership helping to find a missing girl, a Romney/Ryan themed cross word puzzle, and more. Testimonials from former Obama supporters, including U.S. Rep. Artur Davis, are included on the back page.

Voters in crucial swing-states Ohio, Iowa, Wisconsin, Virginia, and Florida will find it in their newspapers tomorrow (more than 160 newspapers), including: The Des Moines Register, The Richmond Times Dispatch, The Milwaukee Journal Sentinel, and The Cleveland Plain Dealer.

To check out the interactive voter guide, just click on the magazine page below, then use your mouse to navigate through the pages. If you click on ‘enlarge’ use arrrows at the top of the page, or at the side of each page, or click on images at the bottom. (Remember to use your ‘escape’ key [esc] to exit.) ENJOY!

The ‘Mittzine’ was paid for by super PAC ‘Ending Spending Action Fund’which was founded by Chicago Cubs baseball team owner, Joe Ricketts. The group focuses on reducing congressional earmark spending and now includes federal government spending cuts and debt reduction.

Excellent!

Follow Jayde Wyatt on Twitter @YayforSummer

Romney/Ryan: Resounding, Resolute Support at Red Rocks, CO!

Thousands upon thousands came to hear Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan speak last night at Red Rocks Amphitheatre, near Morrison, Colorado. NM Governor Susana Martinez, and entertainers Kid Rock and Rodney Atkins, also shared the stage with Romney and Ryan. Click on image to enlarge.
(Photo – RomneyResponse)

What a night!

In spite of gridlocked traffic hours before the event began, from near and far, they pressed forward. Driving up mountain roads, through the rocks they came…

As far as the eye could see, thousands of Romney/Ryan supporters made their way to magnificent Red Rocks Park, Colorado, for a chance in a life-time to see Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan – together for the first time in the beautiful Centennial State. The venue filled to capacity; many were turned away.

Sarah Hoyt at Instapundit.com writes:

Romney Ryan Rally at Red Rocks: [W]e left our home in time to get there just before five under normal conditions. About thirty miles out, the highway became a parking lot, where we got stuck for the next two hours. The freaky thing was the lines extending behind us at least as much. The highway exit was closed, but we’re conservatives/libertarians, we find ways. So we went back roads, parked in way outlaying parking lot (for another facility) and tried to walk. Only the people ahead of us were getting turned back at the door, so we all walked back to our cars shouting stuff like “Romney” and “Soon a real president.” Look at those pictures and let me tell you, at least that many of us were turned away or prevented from approaching.

See 360 photo posted here (scroll in/out, click two circles at top for 360 degree views).

As the enormous crowd waited to hear Congressman Ryan and Governor Romney (who, by the way, was fresh off his third and final well-executed debate with Obama), entertainers Kid Rock and Rodney Atkins wowed them.

Up-and-comer New Mexico Governor Susana Martinez – the first female Hispanic governor in the history of the United States – was also on hand to rev up the massive audience. (Remember her terrific GOP Convention speech?!)

Martinez:

Now, President Obama rattled off a “cute” joke last night about defense planning not being a game of Battleship. Well Mr. President, our BUDGET isn’t a game of Monopoly, either! Attacking Mitt Romney is NOT an agenda. Four more years, like the last four years, is NOT a solution.”

You see, this election, we’re not just picking the next president for four more years. WE are picking the direction and course of our country for a generation. It doesn’t matter which generation you come from – this is the most important election in YOUR generation!

Colorado Rockies first baseman Todd Helton also popped on stage to voice strong support for Romney and Ryan. (*See press release below).

If there would have been a roof to raise, this Romney/Ryan rally would have blown it clear up to the moon shining down on them.


UPDATE - Highlights not included on above video:

Romney supporter: “I have been at Red Rocks because I’ve lived here and I have never seen a crowd like this!

Another supporter: “It’s on fire! Red Rocks is on fire because Mitt Romney is here. And, we are thrilled to be a part of it.”



A view from the top… “More people came than the amphitheater could hold. Momentum grows even more!” (Photo and comments from @dmitchell624)



See MORE photos here.

*Yesterday, October 23, 2012, Mitt Romney announced the support of Colorado Rockies first baseman Todd Helton:

Keep going; more here!

BREAKING: Romney Gains Lead in Virginia

Romney in Virginia

Romney in Virginia

There is a lot of talk in the press about Obama’s post-convention bounce, but perhaps the most overlooked development of the last few days is that Romney, for the first time in the election, has taken the lead in the crucial swing state of Virginia.

Obama won Virginia in 2008 by over 6 percentage points despite its traditionally “red” leanings in the past. But with Virginia moving Romney’s direction, it represents a major development for the presidential campaign.

Virginia is just the latest in a string of swing states that continue to move in Romney’s direction. In particular, Arizona was once thought to be a competitive state for Obama, but has moved firmly into Romney’s column over the last few months.

Other important swing states that keep moving Romney’s direction are Missouri, North Carolina, Wisconsin, and Iowa. Missouri currently shows Romney with a 6 point lead. And North Carolina, the state where Obama’s convention was held, also shows continued momentum for Romney where Romney is up by over 3 points. All of these swing states illustrate the precarious and dangerous environment Obama finds himself in.

So while Obama is undergoing a temporary bounce from his convention, I am reminded of the Republican Primary where competitors rose and fell with great regularity, some in dramatic fashion. Romney knows how to ride out a temporary bump in the polls. And Obama’s bump will be no different.

40+ Million will Vote Weeks before November 6th!

This election could be nearly 50 percent decided well ahead of November 6th! [see graph below] How many days are left to vote? The ticker on the right side bar of this site shows 55 days. Wrong! North Carolina started voting last week. Wisconsin voters start voting in nine days. The all important Ohio and Florida states begin voting in 21 days! How many people voted early in the 2008 race? 40 million! That is a whopping 33% of all voters and the number of early voters increases significantly each election cycle. Check this graph from today’s WSJ:

The Journal article is titled, Vote Changes Spark Duel — Campaigns Battle Over Extended Ballot Season, ID Laws

The largest change in the shape this year’s vote will come from the rapid expansion of early voting—the process that lets voters cast ballots before Election Day. Thirty-five states now offer early voting, and the share of the vote cast early is certain to rise this year. In 2008, some 40 million people, one-third of the electorate, voted early, Mr. Gronke said.

The early-voting season is just starting. North Carolina, site of the Democratic convention, went first, with mail-in ballots becoming available last Friday.
[...]
The Romney campaign also is pushing supporters to vote early. Republican officials estimate that 75% of the votes in North Carolina, 60% in Florida, 57% in Iowa, and 60% in Nevada—all battleground states—will be cast before Election Day. “There’s a plan in place, and we’ve taken a methodical approach to build our support” through early voting, said Rich Beeson, Mr. Romney’s political director.

[emphasis added]

The runway is a lot shorter than many people think! Now is not the time for complacency. We can rest on November 7th. We need to grab an arm on the right and one on the left and go all out for Governor Romney now.


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Romney Adds to His Lead in North Carolina, the Battleground State Where Dems Plan to Hold Their Convention

A new poll out of North Carolina shows Romney pulling away from President Obama largely due to widespread dismay towards the Supreme Court’s ruling on ObamaCare and a mass change-of-mind among Independent voters. The Hill has the details:

Romney leads by 5 in North Carolina.

Mitt Romney continues to grow his lead in North Carolina, now leading President Obama by five points in the state where Democrats plan to hold their national convention.

Romney was the choice of half of the respondents surveyed in a poll released Tuesday by Civitas, versus 45 percent for Obama. That’s a slight improvement over Romney’s March showing, when he led the president 47 percent to 45 percent.

[...]

Romney has built his lead among independents, who now favor the Republican challenger 54-35 percent. That’s a double-digit improvement from March, and a significant shift from February, when the president led by two points with Independents.

This is huge news from a state Obama won fours years ago and where Dems plan to hold their lackluster convention this fall. If Independents continue to gravitate towards the Republican ticket, Obama could be in for a real surprise come November.

Romney Pollster Reveals Seven Key Swing States as Prime Targets

A Romney pollster revealed the seven swing states that the Romney campaign will most likely view as most important to win in order to defeat Obama. 

These states are: Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Nevada, Ohio and Virginia.

Florida: This state is definitely a must-win for Romney in November. At this point, Florida is tilting Romney’s direction. With a lot of retirees and continued housing troubles, Florida is looking favorable for Romney. If Romney picks Senator Marco Rubio as his VP, expect a couple more percentage points of an advantage for Romney.

Ohio: This state is also a must-win for Romney in order to defeat Obama. Without Ohio, it will be very tough for Romney to get 270 electoral votes. This state is looking more difficult for Romney than Florida, but still doable. I would give a slight advantage to Obama at this point simply because of the recent poll numbers coming out of the state. The auto bailout has helped manufacturing in Ohio so expect Obama to play up those benefits as we get closer to November. However, Romney has a good chance of picking Ohio Senator Rob Portman as his VP which should help move the dial a little more in Romney’s favor. 

Arizona: Among the three Western swing states, Arizona is polling as the easiest win for Romney. Traditionally a red state, Arizona leans in Romney’s direction. The state also has a great surrogate in Senator John McCain. McCain was an invaluable spokesman for Romney during the primaries and the state is also home to other strong conservatives like Gov. Jan Brewer.  At this point, Arizona should fall into Romney’s column.

Nevada: Nevada has the highest unemployment rate in the nation and a very poor housing industry since the recession began, but recent polls show that this will be a hard one for Romney to win. 

Colorado: Total tossup. Colorado is my home state and is really too close to call. The 2010 midterm elections did not result in many wins for Republicans across the state. In fact, Colorado elected a Democratic Governor John Hickenlooper, even after a previously unpopular Democratic governor. And a Democratic Senator Michael Bennett squeaked out a victory also. Recent polling shows the state tilting toward Obama.

Virginia: Traditionally a red state, Romney has a strong chance here but the recent polling does show the state is favoring Obama at the moment. Much of Obama’s stimulus money went to Virginia. The state has a very low unemployment rate, the lowest in the country in fact, which doesn’t help Romney. But the state has a Republican Governor Bob McDonnell who is also on the short list of VP options. 

What about the other swing states that weren’t on the list?

Other states seen as possible swing states are Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Missouri, Indiana, North Carolina, Michigan, and New Hampshire.

Of these states, those that are tilting Romney are: Indiana, Missouri, North Carolina.

States that are tilting Obama: Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan, New Hampshire.

Wisconsin and Pennsylvania: Interestingly, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania are not on Romney’s original list of top targets. I had heard that the Romney campaign wasn’t planning to compete too strongly in Pennsylvania, but Wisconsin surprised me. Perhaps after last night’s big victory by Scott Walker, the Romney campaign will watch that area more closely for an opening. 

Keep in mind that this is an early analyses and the whole game may change depending on future developments such as gas prices, European debt crisis, Syrian civil war, etc. Romney believes in being adaptable and altering his strategy so we can be sure that this is not the final word on the matter. We all remember how Romney changed his strategy during the primaries by heavily competing in Iowa once he realized that there was an opening for him to be competitive.

Romney vs. Obama: New Poll Shows Romney is the Only Republican Who Can Beat Obama in Nevada

With Mitt on the ticket, Nevada goes red!

There has been a lot of poll results coming out this week showing Mitt Romney as not only the GOP front runner, but also the only candidate who stands in the way of Obama’s chances at a second term in the White House.

A new poll came out today from Public Policy Polling showing Mitt Romney as the only person who would be a real challenge to President Obama in Nevada. No other tentative Republican candidate for the 2012 election would be a competitive against Obama in the fight to secure Nevada’s 6 electoral votes (1 extra thanks to the 2010 census):

Barack Obama would easily take Nevada if he had to stand for reelection today…unless the Republicans nominated Mitt Romney. Obama has early double digit advantages against Mike Huckabee, Newt Gingrich, and Sarah Palin in the state but has just a single point edge over Romney.

Nevada is one of the few swing states we’ve polled in the last couple months where more voters approve (50%) than disapprove (46%) of Obama. Like everywhere else in the country Democrats are largely happy with him and Republicans are most unhappy- what sets apart his numbers in Nevada is his popularity with independents, 55% of whom approve of him with 41% disapproving.

Independents in the state may like Obama but they like Romney even more, giving him a 58/28 favorability rating. That’s quite a contrast to how they feel about other the leading Republican contenders in the state. Huckabee’s favorability with them is 38/50, Palin’s is 28/61, and Gingrich actually occupies the basement in this state at 26/65.

emphasis mine

Nevada isn’t the only state where Mitt Romney is the only real threat to Obama’s chances of winning that state. Obama has the same problem in Michigan where the former Massachusetts governor is the only person who poses a significant hurdle in capturing that state. That point is made clear in PPP’s reporting:

Of the battleground states where we’ve polled 2012 so far, Nevada has the biggest disparity in the GOP’s chances of winning depending on who their nominee is. The only other state where there was greater than a 5 point difference between how one Republican did and the rest of them was Michigan, where Romney came to within 4 points of Obama with Huckabee the next closest at 12 points.

Mitt Means Business!

Even though Obama and Mitt Romney are closely tied in Nevada, the advantage goes to Mitt Romney. He won Nevada during the 2008 Presidential primaries (some have attributed his victory to the high volume of Mormon [LDS] voters). He made a whopping five stops to the Vegas area on his No Apology book tour back in March. He also gave a speech to the 2,500 members of the International Franchise Association in Las Vegas. Furthermore, Mitt endorsed a handful of Republican candidates in Nevada and came out to stump for them during the 2010 midterm elections. As a result, Mitt Romney has some serious name recognition in Nevada –enough to help him secure the vital swing state.

Given that Governor Romney can put states like Nevada and Michigan into play for 2012 while other potential Republican candidates would lose by double digit margins, he really becomes an attractive candidate for Americans looking to put Obama in the unemployment line in 2012 — perhaps in Nevada, where the state has an unemployment rate of 14.3%, the highest unemployment rate in the United States.

The economy will be the most important issue of 2012, Americans will want a candiate who can stimulate the economy (not the government) and get Americans back to work again. The best man to do that is Mitt Romney; Mitt means business!

~ Jared A.