Results of the 2012 CPAC Straw Poll: Mitt Romney WINS!

Romney Wins 2012 CPAC Straw Poll

Romney Wins 2012 CPAC Straw Poll

Romney – 38%
Santorum – 31%
Gingrich – 15%
Paul – 12%

UPDATE from Jayde: Upon hearing of his CPAC straw poll win, Governor Romney tweeted:

Honored to have won the CPAC straw poll. I’m heartened that so many friends here agree with me about the need for conservative change.

CONGRATS, Gov Romney!

Here’s video of Romney’s fantastic CPAC speech:
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New Hampshire Primary Chat – Come Discuss Exit Poll and Results

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Romney New Hampshire first in the nation

Polls are open in the First in the Nation primary!

Come chat with us about exit polls, results, media coverage… or whatever. Polls close at 8PM Eastern.

GOOD LUCK MITT!

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Any guesses on how Mitt’s vote total of 75,675 from 2008 will compare to today’s totals?

Read the text of Mitt’s victory speech below the fold. (more…)

POLL: In Arizona, Obama Beats All Republicans but One . . . Romney

Romney beats Obama in Arizona

Romney beats Obama in Arizona

From Public Polling Policy:

Obama trails only one Republican- Mitt Romney- in a hypothetical match up in the state. Romney has a 48-44 advantage against him. This makes Arizona the third state in the last month, along with Nevada and Pennsylvania, where we’ve found Romney as the only Republican who leads Obama. Romney and Mike Huckabee generally post similar numbers against Obama in our national polling but that’s because Huckabee posts much larger leads than Romney against Obama in southern states that the GOP will win regardless of who the party’s nominee is. Romney is clearly proving to be the stronger candidate in important swing states, meaning that for whatever it’s worth he has claim to the ‘electability’ mantle right now.

 

How do they stack up vs. Obama in AZ?

Mitt Romney 48% — Obama 44% (+4)
Obama 46% — Mike Huckabee 44% (-2)
Obama 47% — Newt Gingrich 40% (-7)
Obama 48% — Donald Trump 38% (-10)
Obama 49% — Sarah Palin 38% (-11)

The favorability ratings are equally awesome for Mitt, not so much for Trump:

Mitt Romney: Favorable — 45%, Unfavorable — 37%, Not Sure — 17% (+8)
Mike Huckabee: Favorable — 35%, Unfavorable — 48%, Not Sure — 17% (-13)
Sarah Palin: Favorable — 32%, Unfavorable — 62%, Not Sure — 5% (-30)
Newt Gingrich: Favorable — 26%, Unfavorable — 59%, Not Sure — 15% (-33)
Donald Trump: Favorable –24%, Unfavorable — 66%, Not Sure — 10% (-42)

As more of these polling results are released, I think we’ll see that Romney’s clear advantage over the rest of the potential field is his electability in a general election versus President Obama. Will it be that same appeal he has to independents that proves a hindrance in getting the party’s nomination? Only time will tell.

New Poll: Romney Leaves Everyone in the Dust in New Hampshire

Former Mass. Gov. Mitt Romney holds a commanding lead in New Hampshire in the early stages of the race for the 2012 Republican Presidential nomination, according to a new survey commissioned by NH Journal and conducted by Magellan Strategies. The survey is the first statewide survey of Granite State Republicans and Republican-leaning independents in 2011.


New Hampshire Poll Results for 2012 GOP Field:

Romney Dominates Early NH Polling



Mitt Romney 39%
Sarah Palin 16%
Mike Huckabee 10%
Newt Gingrich 8%
Tim Pawlenty 4%
Rick Santorum 3%
Haley Barbour 1%

Full Analysis HERE.



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New Poll On Massachusetts Senate Race: Coakley (D) 49%, Brown (R) 47%

Rasmussen just released new polling results for the Brown vs Coakley Senate Race in Massachusetts. Without further delay, copied directly from RasmussenReports.com, here are the results:

Tuesday, January 12, 2010

The Massachusetts’ special U.S. Senate election has gotten tighter, but the general dynamics remain the same. A new Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of likely voters in the state finds Massachusetts Attorney General Martha Coakley attracting 49% of the vote while her Republican rival, state Senator Scott Brown, picks up 47%. Three percent (3%) say they’ll vote for independent candidate Joe Kennedy, and two percent (2%) are undecided. The independent is no relation to the late Edward M. Kennedy, whose Senate seat the candidates are battling to fill in next Tuesday’s election. Coakley is supported by 77% of Democrats while Brown picks up the vote from 88% of Republicans. Among voters not affiliated with either major party, Brown leads 71% to 23%. To be clear, this lead is among unaffiliated voters who are likely to participate in the special election.

Scott Brown (R), Martha Coakley (D), Joe Kennedy (I)

A week ago, the overall results showed Coakley leading by a 50% to 41% margin. The closeness of the race in heavily Democratic Massachusetts has drawn increasing national interest, and Brown made it clear in the final candidate debate last night that a vote for him is a vote to stop the national health care plan Democrats are pushing in Congress.

The results of this poll are not precisely comparable with last week’s results because this poll includes the independent candidate by name while the previous poll simply offered the choice of “some other candidate.” Additionally, the latest poll results include “leaners.” Leaners are those who don’t initially have a preference for one of the major candidates but indicate that they are leaning in that direction. Without “leaners,” Brown was actually ahead by a single percentage point.

Although the top line results are now a bit tighter, the new polling is consistent with the analysis provided yesterday by Scott Rasmussen. All recent polls place Coakley right around the 50% mark and support for opposition candidates above 40%. Turnout will be the key, and Brown’s voters appear to be more energized.
All polling indicates that a lower turnout is better for the Republican. The new Rasmussen Reports poll shows that Brown is ahead by two percentage points among those who are absolutely certain they will vote. A week ago, he trailed by two among those certain to vote.

To overcome the enthusiasm gap and help generate a larger turnout, national Democrats are getting involved in the race. The Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee is reportedly spending more than half a million dollars in the final days of a campaign that Coakley has long been the heavy favorite to win. Senator John Kerry in an emergency fundraising letter for Coakley today says the race is “a dead heat,” and he and former President Bill Clinton plan to campaign in the state on Friday.

Tired of reading yet? Keep going, its interesting.

Brown raised over a million dollars on Monday and appears to have narrowed the financial gap so far. Coakley has gone negative in the second television ad of her campaign, one that includes Brown in front of a picture of conservative radio commentator Rush Limbaugh. She also sought to link Brown to former President George W. Bush during the debate. Fifty-nine percent (59%) of likely voters in Massachusetts have a favorable opinion of Brown, and 58% say the same about Coakley. Fifty-nine percent (59%) of voters think Coakley will win the election, while 33% expect a victory for Brown. Coakley, who was elected attorney general in 2006, defeated several other candidates to win her party’s nomination in a December 8 primary. Brown, who has served in the State Senate since 2004, won the GOP primary the same day. Fifty-two percent (52%) favor the health care legislation before Congress, but 46% are opposed. Nationally, most voters oppose the proposed health care plan. Sixty-five percent (65%) of voters say the man who tried to blow up an airline on Christmas Day should be tried by the military as a terrorist act while 21% believe the case should be tried by civilian courts as a criminal act. Seventy-seven percent (77%) now favor the use of full-body scanners at airports. Forty-one percent (41%) believe the $787-billion economic stimulus plan passed by Congress last year helped the economy while 23% believe it hurt. That’s a much more positive assessment than the stimulus plan receives nationally.

However, even in Massachusetts, just 38% believe that increases in government spending generally help the economy. Forty-four percent (44%) say such spending generally has a negative impact. As for taxes, 56% believe that tax hikes are bad for the economy while 23% think they help. Thirty-seven percent (37%) of Massachusetts voters think that more jobs will be created by cancelling the rest of the stimulus spending while 44% think spending the money will create more jobs. Nationally, just over half believe that canceling the spending is the better tool for job creation. Fifty-seven percent (57%) of those likely to vote in this election still approve of the way that Barack Obama is doing his job as president. Just 40% approve of the way that Deval Patrick is handling his role as governor. The survey was conducted on Monday night, the night of a televised debate between the candidates.

Emphasis mine.

Tell us what you think in the comment section of this post! Is this race too close to call? Who are YOU leaning towards? Let us know!

~Aaronius