Archive

Posts Tagged ‘Polls’

Bush Tax Cuts Set to Cease, Teetering Economy at Further Risk

July 23rd, 2010 Jayde Wyatt Comments off

Bigger taxes are coming! Bigger taxes are coming!

Unless Americans usher a new Congress into office this fall, Obama’s redistribute-the-wealth-bankrupt-America agenda will likely smother our wheezing jobless economic recovery. The Bush tax cuts breathe their last at midnight on December 31, 2010:

The Tax Tsunami On The Horizon

Fiscal Policy: Many voters are looking forward to 2011, hoping a new Congress will put the country back on the right track. But unless something’s done soon, the new year will also come with a raft of tax hikes — including a return of the death tax — that will be real killers.

Through the end of this year, the federal estate tax rate is zero — thanks to the package of broad-based tax cuts that President Bush pushed through to get the economy going earlier in the decade.

But as of midnight Dec. 31, the death tax returns — at a rate of 55% on estates of $1 million or more. The effect this will have on hospital life-support systems is already a matter of conjecture.

Resurrection of the death tax, however, isn’t the only tax problem that will be ushered in Jan. 1. Many other cuts from the Bush administration are set to disappear and a new set of taxes will materialize. And it’s not just the rich who will pay.

The lowest bracket for the personal income tax, for instance, moves up 50% — to 15% from 10%. The next lowest bracket — 25% — will rise to 28%, and the old 28% bracket will be 31%. At the higher end, the 33% bracket is pushed to 36% and the 35% bracket becomes 39.6%.

But the damage doesn’t stop there.

The marriage penalty also makes a comeback, and the capital gains tax will jump 33% — to 20% from 15%. The tax on dividends will go all the way from 15% to 39.6% — a 164% increase.

Both the cap-gains and dividend taxes will go up further in 2013 as the health care reform adds a 3.8% Medicare levy for individuals making more than $200,000 a year and joint filers making more than $250,000. Other tax hikes include: halving the child tax credit to $500 from $1,000 and fixing the standard deduction for couples at the same level as it is for single filers.

Letting the Bush cuts expire will cost taxpayers $115 billion next year alone, according to the Congressional Budget Office, and $2.6 trillion through 2020.

A few other areas where tax changes will occur include: The Medicine Cabinet Tax, HSA Withdrawal Tax Hikes, Brand Name Drug Tax, Economic Substance Doctrine, and the widening net of Alternative Minimum Tax -- tax hikes on employers and the loss of deductions for tuition. Click here to read more on this tax nightmare. Read more here.

Behind Capitol Hill doors, some progressives have a gleam in their eyes for the Value Added Tax (VAT) which is especially common throughout the European Union. VAT would give Obama the boost to herald a solution for America’s deficit while allowing him to implement invisible capitalistic destruction.

A VAT is a sales tax imposed on every level of a product’s path from production to consumption. It already exists in Europe and many other struggling countries around the world. It’s a sneaky sucker, too, since it’s essentially built in ahead of time and doesn’t show up on a receipt like a sales tax would. If a VAT were in place that iPad you just bought would be $600 instead of $500.

A VAT would pull in massive revenues. Just think: a 10% VAT would produce 1 trillion in revenues. Cash register sounds go off in the minds of every leftist that hears it.
Obama and the Democrats are spending SO much that they’ll be forced to invoke a VAT. They are creating a crisis so that they can solve it with a mechanism that will serve as the catalyst for future spending on their massive government programs.

And even though our president said he wouldn’t raise taxes on 95% of Americans while he was on the campaign trail, this move would raise taxes on everyone.
[…]
What Obama will say is that he is putting together a commission to find a way to pay down our country’s maxed out credit card.

Expect that commission to recommend the VAT tax after the 2010 midterm elections. By then, we’ll be on the verge of Greece-like catastrophe and we’ll have no choice but to impose a VAT. But only one that will, coincidentally, go into effect after the 2012 presidential election.

Just yesterday Timothy Geithner quashed hopes of a Bush tax cut extension:

Mr. Geithner said there is “still some uncertainty about how strong the recovery is going to be,” which may be impacting spending decisions by businesses and individuals. But he discounted that as a reason to extend the Bush-era tax cuts for top earners, saying most private forecasts show moderate economic growth and increasing public confidence in the recovery.

Meanwhile, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke is warning of unusual economic uncertainty.

No wonder Poll numbers for Obama are slippery sliding into the rocks; 27% of the nation’s voters strongly approve of his presidential performance and 44% strongly disapprove. Obama has a Presidential Approval Index rating of -17.  More and more of his supporters are beginning to feel like this (go full screen and crank up your speakers):

“The Democratic Party is obsessed with spending more, borrowing more, and taxing more, all of which sap our national strength. ~Mitt Romney

Keeping in mind that the real prize is what happens in 2012, we must not underestimate Obama. Let’s do all we can to help Americans find what they’re looking for!

Conservative victory 2010. Mitt Romney 2012.

Nikki Haley, With Romney & Palin Support, Takes Lead in SC’s Race for Governor

May 21st, 2010 Luke 13 comments

Romney & Haley

After an entire year of being the underdog in South Carolina’s gubernatorial race, Nikki Haley has suddenly captured the lead!

She may owe this abrupt jump in polls to some really big endorsements, including initial nods from Mitt Romney, Jenny Sanford, and Erick Erickson of RedState -- followed by the more recent endorsement of the rogue herself, Sarah Palin.

More from the Washington Post:

State legislator Nikki Haley seizes the lead in the four-way GOP primary for governor of South Carolina. An automated Rasmussen poll of 912 Republicans has Haley surging from 12 to 30 percent support in a month, leapfrogging the state’s attorney general, lieutenant governor and a congressman, all with more money and institutional support. One reason, as I posted last week — Gov. Mark Sanford’s (R-S.C.) political PAC reactivated recently and spent $400,000 on sunny Haley TV ads.

This is only one Rasmussen poll, and unless a candidate scores 50 percent of the vote he or she goes to a run-off, but what would a Haley win mean? It would be a massive victory for the conservative grass roots, especially RedState, which have promoted her endlessly. And it would be a boon for Mitt Romney, who won Haley’s endorsement in 2008, endorsed her this year, and would obviously be expected to win it in 2012.

Just yesterday, Romney’s PAC sent out this reminder to all Facebook Fans and Twitter followers:

With the South Carolina gubernatorial primary election less than three weeks away, a new Rasmussen poll now shows Nikki Haley leading her closest opponent by 11 points. Nikki Haley represents a new generation of conservative leadership for South Carolina. Please consider supporting her campaign.”

Check out her new TV ad:

Nikki Haley’s Facebook -- http://www.facebook.com/NikkiHaleyforGovernor
Nikki Haley’s Twitter -- http://twitter.com/nikkihaley

~Luke G.

The Romney News Round-Up: Polls and Articles and Endorsements Oh My

April 29th, 2010 Nate Gunderson 2 comments

There have been a number of Romney related news articles the past few days that have gone unreported here. It appears that all of us bloggers are suffering from life-is-too-hectic-to-have-time-to-blog disease at the same time. It happens, especially near the end of the school semester.

Here is what we missed:

Romney leads PPP’s Arizona Poll: Romney 27% -- Gingrich 19% -- Palin 13% -- Huckabee 12% -- Paul 9% -- Undecided 19%. Romney leads among both men and women, conservatives and moderates, and all age groups. (source)

Free and Strong America rolls out endorsements of 7 candidates for office in Illinois:

Congressman Mark Kirk: Congressman Mark Kirk currently represents the 10th Congressional District of Illinois and is now running for U.S. Senate. For more information about him and his campaign, visit http://www.kirkforsenate.com.

Congressman Peter Roskam: Congressman Peter Roskam currently represents the 6th Congressional District of Illinois and is running for reelection. For more information about him and his campaign, visit www.roskamforcongress.com.

Congressman Aaron Schock: Congressman Aaron Schock currently represents the 18th Congressional District of Illinois and is running for reelection. For more information about him and his campaign, visit www.aaronschock.com.

Robert Dold: Robert Dold is a small business owner who is running to represent the 10th Congressional District of Illinois. For more information about him and his campaign, please visit www.doldforcongress.com.

Randy Hultgren: Randy Hultgren currently represents the people of Illinois in the State Senate and is now running to represent the 14th Congressional District of Illinois. For more information about him and his campaign, please visit www.hultgrenforcongress.com.

Adam Kinzinger: Adam Kinzinger has served in local government and as a member of the U.S. Air Force. He is now is running to represent the 11th Congressional District of Illinois. For more information about him and his campaign, visit www.electadam.com.

Dan Rutherford: Dan Rutherford currently represents the people of Illinois in the State Senate and is now running to become State Treasurer. For more information about him and his campaign, visit www.danrutherford.org.

[...]

These Illinois endorsements are the seventh in a series of state rollouts of the PAC’s 2010 endorsements, which are aimed at electing conservative candidates who will work to lower taxes and spending, restore commonsense principles to healthcare and get our economy moving again. As part of this program, Romney’s PAC also has announced endorsements in Ohio, Missouri, California, Pennsylvania, Hawaii, and Nevada. (source)

Mitt Romney endorsed Pete Hoekstra for Governor of Michigan: This is one that I sure hope wins. Coverage and video clips can be found here. BTW… anyone notice any similarities between the profile picture on Pete Hoekstra’s Facebook page and ours? Good work on that Aaron. (hint: become a fan of Hoekstra’s page)

Chris Cillizza comments on Romney “flexing his muscles”:

Romney’s steady roll-out of endorsements is an exercise in some not-so-subtle muscle-flexing by the former governor. Romney led all potential 2012 Republican candidates in fundraising over the first three months of 2010 and has, without question, the most sophisticated political operation of any of the contenders. (source)

Romney quote on Arizona’s new immigration law:

Arizona’s new immigration enforcement law is the direct result of Washington’s failure to secure the border and to protect the lives and liberties of our citizens. [...] It is my hope that the law will be implemented with care and caution not to single out individuals based upon their ethnicity. It is increasingly clear that the time has come for Washington to fulfill its responsibility for border security. (source)

All the streets in America are connected -- Romney responds to DNC attack ad: I think this should win the quote-of-the-day award.

Democrats attacked Romney in recent days for his defense of Wall Street as the Obama administration pushes for new banking regulations.

[...] And frankly, I don’t believe in discriminating against anybody, regardless of the street they’re from,” he said. “You see, all the streets in America are connected, and scape-goating and demonizing individuals based on where they live or where they work is a big mistake.

Romney went on to say that any bad actors should be punished appropriately. Meanwhile Hoekstra, who’s running for governor, said most of what he saw of recent Senate hearings on Goldman Sachs was political posturing. (source) (hat tip)

Romney comment on Charlie Crist leaving the GOP and running as an Independent: Deeply disappointing.

Bald EagleIn related news: 24-hour live webcam shows the nest of a bald eagle family with an egg (1 at least) that hatched just this morning. The little baby eagle is so cute (when you can see him). My wife watched the parents land in the nest with a fish and feed little pieces of it the the baby bird. Watch it any time of day here: http://www.hornbyeagles.com/webcam
How is this related? Well… Romney is going to be the next President of the United States, and the bald eagle is an official emblem of the United States. So you see it’s not too far of a stretch, even though these particular bald eagles are on Hornby Island which is just of the coast of British Columbia.

Lastly: (Video) Charlie Crist announces he will will run for senator of Florida as an independent:

Oh, wait. I’ve posted the wrong video now, haven’t I?

~Nate Gunderson

Mitt Romney Stays Atop the National PPP Poll for April

April 20th, 2010 Nate Gunderson 6 comments

Romney, PPP, poll

In March Romney rose to the top of Public Policy Polling’s 2012 GOP nomination poll. This month he stays atop the poll showing marked improvement in a few demographics. For the first time that I can recall he is leading the group among women voters. He is now also leading among voters in the West region, conservative voters, as well as those older than 65. The only two demographics that Romney didn’t lead this month are the South region and voters 18-29 years of age. Huckabee leads both of those categories.

—————————————————————————————————-

Public Policy Polling asks 400 Republican Primary voters: If the Republican candidates for President in 2012 were Mike Huckabee, Sarah Palin, and Mitt Romney who would you vote for?

CandidateALLModerateConservative18-2930-4546-6565+
Romney33313433313529
Huckabee27262844272426
Palin23192817272224
Undecided1725146151921
CandidateALLFemaleMaleNortheastSouthMidwestWest
Romney33333539233837
Huckabee27302523372728
Palin23232420252020
Undecided17161717151515

~Nate G.

Poll Source: Public Policy Polling, April 19, 2010 (PDF Press Release)

Update from Ross: If you go to the survey below, I feel I should issue a mild content warning.
The Esquire Survey of the American Woman
20. Who is the most admirable man in America?

Barack Obama 50%

Bill Gates 21%

George Clooney 7%

Mitt Romney 2%

Other 20%

This is impressive because people could have chosen anyone and Mitt made the top 4 out of anyone people could think of.

24. Who would be the strongest Republican presidential candidate in 2012?

Mitt Romney 50%

Tim Pawlenty 16%

Stephen Baldwin 15%

Sarah Palin 11%

Newt Gingrich 8%

Results this great speak for themselves!

Romney Garners 31% Lead Over Huckabee, Palin in Early Florida Poll

March 11th, 2010 Nate Gunderson 4 comments

Yes, of course it is very early to place huge stock in such polls, but we can’t help but be drawn to any early indication of what might possibly happen in 2012. With that in mind I present the results of the Public Policy Polling‘s survey of Florida Republican primary voters:

If the Republican candidates for President in 2012 were Mike Huckabee, Sarah Palin, and Mitt Romney who would you vote for?
52% Mitt Romney
21% Mike Huckabee
18% Sarah Palin
14% Undecided

I don’t think I need to remind our readers how important of state Florida in the primary schedules with it’s 57 winner-takes-all delegates. Cross-tabs from the survey show that results are basically the same whether the polled Republicans were of conservative, moderate, or liberal ideology.

Not to be excluded from the report is the great news that Romney also holds large lead in an identical poll Colorado. This one isn’t quite headline news as Romney overwhelmingly won Colorado in the 2008 primary caucus. The results for Colorado PPP poll:

Colorado:
44% Mitt Romney
25% Sarah Palin
17% Mike Huckabee
14% Undecided

For full results of the Florida and Colorado polls, including cross-tabs, click here.

Other recent polls:
PPP Texas:
32% Mitt Romney
29% Mike Huckabee
23% Sarah Palin
15% Undecided

PPP New Mexico:
33% Mitt Romney
32% Sarah Palin
18% Mike Huckabee
17% Undecided

For full results of the Feb. 26 Texas and New Mexico polls, including cross-tabs, click here.

Magellan Strategies California,
31% Romney
18% Palin
13% Huckabee
12% Gingrich
08% Paul
03% Other
03% Pawlenty
12% Undecided

For full results of the March 4 California poll, including cross-tabs, click here.

Mitt ’12!

~Nate Gunderson

(HT to BOSMAN, one of our readers for the story.)

Both Mitt Romney and Meg Whitman Win Big in Early California Poll

March 5th, 2010 Nate Gunderson 2 comments

Meg Whitman and Mitt RomneyRecent polling from Magellan Strategies indicates that both Governor Mitt Romney and Meg Whitman , former CEO of eBay.com, are in early pole position for their relative offices, or potential office I should say in the case of Governor Romney. California has a closed primary, meaning only registered Republicans can vote in the primary. As such the Magellan poll only included those who are registered GOP.

California is rich with GOP delegates with approx. 170 that get to vote in the RNC convention. Of those McCain received 158 delegates in the 2008 primary, while Romney earned 12, with 42% of the vote and 35%, respectively.

The results for Magellan’s early 2012 Presidential preference poll:

31% Romney
18% Palin
13% Huckabee
12% Gingrich
08% Paul
03% Other
03% Pawlenty
12% Undecided

That is a very healthy margin for Romney, and there could very well be similar results in February 2012, bringing a vast majority of those 170 delegates into Romney’s camp. Interesting enough the results included cross-tabs which showed the results among social conservatives to be very similar to those of the state-wide poll: 30% Romney ; 20% Palin ; 17% Huckabee. This disputes claims that Romney can’t do well among SoCons, and being a strong SoCon myself I find great satisfaction in that.

Now for the 2010 GOP Gubernatorial nominee poll results:

63% Meg Whitman !!!
12% Steve Poizner
04% Other
21% Undecided

Much could happen before the June 8 primary elections, but I think Whitman is almost a definite winner with nearly 2/3 of the entire vote. Meg Whitman as Governor would be an extraordinary benefit to the State of California with her extensive economic expertise as a business leader, but I can’t overlook the fact that it will also be a huge boon to Romney with Whitman in the Governorship.

Good Luck Whitman 2010 and Go Mitt 2012!!

~Nate Gunderson

Results of the full survey found here. HT GOP12.com

2 for 2 – Romney Wins the Bloggers Poll As Well

January 8th, 2010 Nate Gunderson Comments off

Recently the National Journal queried “political insiders” as to whom they thought would win the GOP nomination in 2012. Among them Mitt Romney was the overwhelming favorite. Aaronius reported on it here. A smaller poll was also done with not “insiders” but political bloggers with similar results.

Rank the top 5 candidates, 1 through 5, in terms of who you think is most likely to capture the 2012 Republican presidential nomination.

Results:

I transposed the methodology from the insiders poll to match this poll:*METHODOLOGY: 18 right-leaning bloggers participated. In tallying the rankings, a first-place vote was worth 5 points, a second-place vote 4 points, and so on. The Insiders Index reflects the percentage of points that each contender received out of the maximum possible. For example, Mitt Romney scored an Index rating of 66, meaning he received 66 percent of the possible 90 points, the number he would have had if all 18 participants had ranked him first.

List of the right leaning bloggers: Dan McLaughlin, Baseball Crank; Bob Parks, Black And Right; Bookworm, Bookworm Room; D.S. Hube, The Colossus Of Rhodey; Bruce Carroll Jr., GayPatriot; Skip Murphy, GraniteGrok; Robert Miller, JoshuaPundit; Soren Dayton, The Next Right; Jon Henke, The Next Right; James Joyner, Outside The Beltway; Walter Olson, Overlawyered; Steven Taylor, PoliBlog; Debbie Hamilton, Right Truth; John Hawkins, Right Wing News; David Gerstman, Soccer Dad; Martin Solomon, Solomonia; David Kopel, The Volokh Conspiracy; Susan Duclos, Wake Up America

A group of left wing Democrats participated in a small survey as well:
Who would be the Republicans’ strongest presidential nominee in 2012?

Nice know that the Politicos revere Mitt Romney as the most likely to win the GOP nomination and the strongest candidate to face Obama as well.

~Nate Gunderson

Obama's Approval Numbers Continue to Slide

December 7th, 2009 Nate Gunderson 10 comments

This interactive graph demonstrates the continual slide in President Obama’s approval ratings since taking office in January. I like this graph from Real Clear Politics because it averages all of the major recent polls to provide data that is less likely to be skewed than that from a single source.

The big question? When are the black and red lines going to touch? The percentages as of today are 49.0% approval with 45.1% disapproval. That is only a 3.9% percent gap, far different from the 43.3% gap Obama enjoyed when he took office!

Polling Data

Poll Date Sample Approve Disapprove Spread
RCP Average 11/12 – 12/6 49.0 45.1 +3.9
Gallup 12/4 – 12/6 1547 A 47 46 +1
Rasmussen Reports 12/4 – 12/6 1500 LV 49 50 -1
CNN/Opinion Research 12/2 – 12/3 1041 A 48 50 -2
USA Today/Gallup 11/20 – 11/22 1017 A 50 44 +6
FOX News 11/17 – 11/18 900 RV 46 46 Tie
CBS News 11/13 – 11/16 1167 A 53 36 +17
Democracy Corps (D) 11/12 – 11/16 1000 RV 50 44 +6

See All President Obama Job Approval Polling Data

So let’s hear your guesses. When are the lines going to touch? What are the reasons for the big slide? I’ve got some ideas.

Last Days to Vote for Romney at BillOreilly.com Poll

November 6th, 2009 Aaronius 4 comments

Hurry on over to BillOreilly.com and show your support for this nation’s most competent, qualified leader: Mitt Romney. Feel free to send this post to your friends by clicking the ‘email’ button below. Let’s show Mitt some love!

Click Here to Vote

Click Here to Vote

Be sure to share this post on your Facebook or Twitter, as well.

UPDATE: Bill O’Reilly just announced that the results will be revealed on during Monday’s show should it appears we have the weekend to keep trying to get others to vote.

UPDATE 2: Bill O’Reilly didn’t even mention the poll during Monday’s show and the poll can still be voted in at http://www.billoreilly.com

Mitt Romney News in Review: Travel, Agenda and Polls

November 5th, 2009 Nate Gunderson 8 comments

Romney makes visits to 10 states on behalf of GOP candidates in October

Romney makes visits to 10 states on behalf of GOP candidates in October

We have several Romney news items to catch up on which I’ll encapsulate into this post. First, via the monthly PAC newsletter, we see that Mitt Romney made trips to help fellow GOP-ers in ten states, including Virginia and New Jersey for the newly elected Governors Bob McDonnell and Chris Christie, respectively. Other state visited by Governor Romney in October include: California, Missouri, Nebraska, New York, Pennsylvania, South Carolina, Texas, and Wisconsin. This rigorous October schedule follows an equally busy schedule had in September. So much for a peaceful retirement and riding off into the sunset. Remember that these travels and endorsements that help keep Romney in the forefront of potential 2012 candidates are made possible by your contributions to the Free and Strong America PAC.

Our other news is likely to make you want to contribute to the link above as well: Mike Huckabee is seen making headway and leading in most recent polls for the GOP 2012 nomination. The most recent was released today by USA Today/Gallup where Huckabee edged Romney by Republican voters when asked which possible 2012 contenders they would seriously consider supporting. The graph below has the results.

Huckabee-Romney-Palin-Support-for-2012

Other recent polls and power rankings:

  • After several months atop The Fix’s Rankings, Romney slips to third behind Palin and Pawlenty, and just ahead of Huckabee in 4th.
  • Huckabee edges Romney by 1 point in recent polls by Public Policy Polling (PPP)
  • a mid-October poll by Rasmussen had these results: Huckabee 29%, Romney 24%, Palin 18%

It would be foolish to place a lot of stock in these numbers so far out, but it is of interest at least to see where candidates stand today. Huckabee made a funny and fitting statement when asked about his thoughts on the Gallup poll: “It’s like speculating who’s going to be the best actor next year when we don’t even know what the movies are.” If Huckabee does enter the 2012 race it may be later than most because he want to continue his benefit from the 1.5 million viewers on his FOX talk show as long as possible. The minute he announces any sort of campaign he would have to leave the program. Romney on the other hand continues to keep a low public profile while interjecting only on key issues and continuing to build support for and from GOPers all across the nation. Be sure to read Thomas Alan’s post called And This is How You Build a Narrative.

~Nate Gunderson