According to The Detroit News, Romney Leads by 1 point in the latest Michigan poll (a statistical tie). The slight lead comes largely from a surge of support among independents, who favor Romney over Obama by a whopping 10 percentage points:
A survey by Mitchell Research & Communications showed the race is a statistical dead heat between President Barack Obama and presumptive Republican challenger Mitt Romney, with Romney leading, 45 percent to Obama’s 44 percent.
The Mitchell poll showed a possible cause for concern for Obama. Romney expanded his lead among independent voters, who are considered a key voting bloc.
In the poll, they preferred Romney by a 44 percent to 34 percent margin. Last month, they liked Romney, 43 percent to 38 percent.
Team Obama is counting on Michigan, among other solidly blue states, to give them an electoral advantage come November. But at this rate, it looks like Michigan may be going red for the first time — in a presidential race — since the Reagan years.
The Obama campaign is quickly loosing it’s footing as more polls reveal Romney gaining ground in states that Obama won in 2008.
As it’s traditionally a Dem stronghold, most hypothetical electoral maps show Michigan in the solid blue column — and rightfully so. Just four years ago, Obama trounced McCain there by 17 points.
But what we’re learning this election cycle is that nothing is safe anymore for Team Obama. When Romney puts several typically blue states into play, he forces Team Obama to scramble — spreading resources in areas they didn’t think they’d have to defend.
The Obama folks certainly didn’t expect to be flanked by Team Romney in Michigan, but a look at the latest poll (conducted by We Ask America) shows just how vulnerable they’ve become for a Romney ambush:
Michigan Poll Results
Good news also comes from Iowa, where the poll finds Romney neck and neck with Obama:
On the night of Mitt’s huge Florida victory, his team launched a moneybomb aimed at making Obama a one-term president, appropriately called the “One Term Fund.”
You can tell this perturbed the Obama folks [is this the general election already?] who within 24 hours set up TwoTermFund.com [I refuse to link to it] and told their minions that Mitt Romney was out to replace their master. This evolved into a all out battle between thew two camps. Much of the back and forth took place on twitter and in emails to their respective donor lists (see tweets below).
The battle continues & Mitt needs your help!
The fact that Obama’s team is even engaging with Mitt this long before the general election shows you how afraid these chumps are of our man, Mitt. We need to step up and offer some backup. Everyone please reach into your wallet, and send some support to our guy!
And please let everyone know that the President of the United States has singled Mitt Romney out and started an all out war with the people that want him out of office!
Obama trails only one Republican- Mitt Romney- in a hypothetical match up in the state. Romney has a 48-44 advantage against him. This makes Arizona the third state in the last month, along with Nevada and Pennsylvania, where we’ve found Romney as the only Republican who leads Obama. Romney and Mike Huckabee generally post similar numbers against Obama in our national polling but that’s because Huckabee posts much larger leads than Romney against Obama in southern states that the GOP will win regardless of who the party’s nominee is. Romney is clearly proving to be the stronger candidate in important swing states, meaning that for whatever it’s worth he has claim to the ‘electability’ mantle right now.
The favorability ratings are equally awesome for Mitt, not so much for Trump:
Mitt Romney: Favorable — 45%, Unfavorable — 37%, Not Sure — 17% (+8) Mike Huckabee: Favorable — 35%, Unfavorable — 48%, Not Sure — 17% (-13) Sarah Palin: Favorable — 32%, Unfavorable — 62%, Not Sure — 5% (-30) Newt Gingrich: Favorable — 26%, Unfavorable — 59%, Not Sure — 15% (-33) Donald Trump: Favorable –24%, Unfavorable — 66%, Not Sure — 10% (-42)
As more of these polling results are released, I think we’ll see that Romney’s clear advantage over the rest of the potential field is his electability in a general election versus President Obama. Will it be that same appeal he has to independents that proves a hindrance in getting the party’s nomination? Only time will tell.