Romney Leads in Polls: FOX News, Public Policy Polling, American Research Group (ARG)


It’s been a good polling news day for Mitt Romney!

After the three presidential debates this month, a national poll by FOX News, polling in Florida, and polling in Iowa shows that debates matter. Voters prefer Governor Romney:

Fox News Poll: GOP Race Top Tier Now Romney, Perry and Cain

Three September debates have shaken-up the race for the Republican presidential nomination. Herman Cain has jumped into the top tier. Rick Perry’s stumbled. Mitt Romney’s holding steady.

And Michele Bachmann is hitting bottom. That’s according to a Fox News poll released Wednesday.

The new poll found Cain’s support has nearly tripled among GOP primary voters to 17 percent.

That’s up from 6 percent before this month’s debates, and puts him in what is essentially a three-way tie with Perry and Romney.

Click here to see the full results from the poll.

Perry now garners 19 percent, a drop of 10 percentage points from a month ago. That puts Romney back in the top spot with the support of 23 percent. Last month Romney was at 22 percent.

Newt Gingrich recovered some ground and now stands at 11 percent. Ron Paul receives the backing of 6 percent now compared to 8 percent before the September debates. Bachmann registers 3 percent support, down from 8 percent in late August and a high of 15 percent in July.

The nomination preference question included only the names of announced candidates.
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Republicans are much happier with the GOP field these days. The number saying they are at least somewhat impressed with their slate of candidates has increased 19 points — from 44 percent in April to 63 percent now.
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Hypothetical, Early Matchups
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Among all registered voters Obama tops Romney by 3 points, which is within the poll’s margin of sampling error. In July, Obama had a 6-point edge and a year ago it was 1-point. The strength of party support is similar for each, as 85 percent of Democrats back Obama and 83 percent of Republicans support Romney.

Romney tops Obama among independents by a slim 2 points. In a head-to-head matchup with Perry, Obama bests him by 8 points among all voters, and by 6 points among independents.

Romney Up in Florida – Public Policy Polling:


Rick Perry’s led the Republican field in every Southern state that we’ve polled since he entered the Presidential race…until now. Mitt Romney continues to lead the way in Florida with 30% to 24% for Perry, 10% for Gingrich, 8% for Ron Paul, 7% for Herman Cain, 6% for Michele Bachmann, 3% for Jon Huntsman, 2% for Rick Santorum, and 1% for Gary Johnson.

Perry had a poor debate performance in Florida Thursday night and our results suggest that the negative coverage he received from that did hurt him some in the state. We started this poll on Thursday night before the debate and in those interviews the race was neck and neck with Romney at 33% and Perry at 31%. But in interviews done Friday-Sunday Romney’s lead expanded to double digits at 29-19. More telling might be what happened to Perry’s favorability numbers after the debate- on Thursday night he was at 63/23 with Florida Republicans. Friday-Sunday he was at 48/36. Perry’s poor performance may or may not prove to be a game changer nationally but it definitely appears to have hurt his image in the key state where it occurred.

If the Republican Presidential race came down to just Rick Perry and Mitt Romney, who would you vote for?

Mitt Romney 45%
Rick Perry 36%
Not sure 19%


Iowa – Romney Leads in Latest Poll (ARG)

A poll out on Wednesday from the American Research Group has Mitt Romney leading the Republican primary field in Iowa, picking up 22 percent of the support of Iowa Republicans and 21 percent of likely caucus goers. Among likely Republican caucus goers, Michele Bachmann has 15 percent and Rick Perry is in third just behind with 14 percent. Bachmann won the Ames Straw Poll and had been leading ARG’s poll in July, 21 percent to Romney’s 18 percent. (Perry barely registered back then at 2 percent.) In the intervening months, it looks like Perry’s picking up some of her former supporters, but not enough yet to boost him past Romney. Meanwhile, Herman Cain, who led the weekend’s Florida straw poll, picked up just 6 percent of the support among likely caucus goers.

Mitt Romney – 22%
Michele Bachmann – 15%
Rick Perry – 14%
Herman Cain – 6%

(emphasis added to articles )

► Jayde Wyatt

Poll Roll for Mitt Romney: McClatchy-Marist, NH, Tea Party, American Research Group


Approval numbers for Mitt Romney are on a Poll roll.

And, he’s not even in the race, yet. For the most part, he’s been busy behind the scenes.

Here’s the tally…

McClatchy-Marist Poll: Romney neck and neck with Obama; Trump, Palin far behind

A McClatchy-Marist poll released on Wednesday shows Mitt Romney in a statistical deadheat with President Barack Obama. Obama leads Romney, 46 percent to 45 percent.

The one-point margin represents a dramatic improvement for the former Massachusetts governor, who trailed Obama 51 percent to 38 percent in a McClatchy-Marist poll conducted this past January.

Mike Huckabee was the second-most competitive Republican polled, trailing Obama 48 percent to 43 percent, also a large improvement from the January poll, in which Obama led 50 percent to 38 percent.

However, other potential Republican candidates do not fair as well. Despite Donald Trump’s recent media spotlight and self-generated presidential buzz, the real estate tycoon trails Obama 54 percent to 38 percent.

Former vice-presidential nominee Sarah Palin fares even worse, trailing Obama 56 percent to 34 percent.

Read more here.

NH poll shows Romney slightly ahead of Obama

CONCORD, N.H.—A poll of New Hampshire voters shows President Barack Obama beating nearly all of the potential Republican candidates, with two exceptions: Mitt Romney and someone who isn’t even considering a run.

The poll conducted by Dartmouth’s Nelson A. Rockefeller Center shows Romney slightly ahead of Obama. Former Secretary of State Colin Powell was added to the mix to test the perceived absence of leadership qualities among the candidates, and voters preferred him to Obama by a wide margin.

In matchups with other Republicans, Obama was well ahead of Sarah Palin, Haley Barbour, Ron Paul, Tim Pawlenty and Donald Trump and slightly ahead of Mike Huckabee.

Follow up here.

Three Cups Of Tea Party For Romney


One of the big questions for 2012: which Republican will win the affection of Tea Party voters. While ex-Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin and Rep. Michele Bachmann are the most closely identified with the Tea Party cause, the latest poll finds that it’s ex-Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney who does best among voters who identify as Tea Party supporters.

In a head to head match-up against President Barack Obama, seventy percent of those who say they are Tea Party supporters say they’ll vote for Romney compared to 61 percent for Palin and 60 percent for Bachmann. Ex-Gov. Mike Huckabee narrowly trails Romney, taking 69 percent of the Tea Party vote.

According to the poll, 37 percent of these Tea Party supporters say they are Republicans, 11 percent identify as Democrats and 47 percent identify as independents. But, when independents are asked to pick which party they lean toward, the Tea Party universe looks a whole lot more Republican. With leaners, 68 percent of these self-identified Tea Party supporters say they are Republicans, 21 percent are Democrats and 11 percent are independents.
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Romney also runs strongest among those who identify themselves as Republican, taking 85 percent of the GOP vote against President Obama. The candidate who does the worst among Republicans? “The Donald” who takes just 68 percent of the Republican vote.

Additional info here.

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