Romney: More to Gain Than to Lose in Last Debate

Well, the final Presidential debate will be over in less than 24 hours.

I’m sensing a certain level of stress among some Romney supporters in the lead up to this debate. Sure, it’s human nature to feel anxious just before a big event … especially when we are so invested in Mitt’s success. But I’m not nervous one bit, and here’s why ….

Governor (soon to be “President Elect”) Romney has much more to gain than to lose in this debate. It’s Obama that has the tough job tonight. The non-incumbent challenger generally has a low-bar to clear in these debates. They only have to 1) show that they can credibly be Commander-in-Chief and 2) avoid major gaffes. Mitt has shown that he is more than capable of achieving this based on his first two debate showings.

Much of the “who won the debate?” game is about expectations. Obama was widely expected to be a superior debater/communicator, and it was a race-changing event when he lost the first debate so dramatically. This set up debate number two, where Obama had reset his bar down to the floor. As such, many observers felt that he “won” the second debate (by a much narrower margin than the 1st debate, and more on style than on actual issues according to polls). But the President’s “win” was really more of a “most improved” award … we’ve seen no bounce in the polls for him at all.

Conventional wisdom is that Obama is supposed to trounce Governor Romney tonight, since the topic is Foreign Policy. The problem for Obama, is that his supposed foreign policy superiority is already “baked into the cake” of his poll numbers/support. Obama’s problem arises from the fact that his foreign policy successes begin and end with “Bin Laden is dead.” Sure, that’s a HUGE point, but it’s sort of hard to talk about THAT for 90 minutes straight. And no voter is going to change his mind to vote for Obama on this issue. “Hey yeah, Obama got Bin Laden … I had forgotten that. I guess I’ll vote for him now.”

Even those formerly on Obama’s foreign policy team decidedly do NOT see this as a strength for him (be sure to read that scathing rebuke!).

The debate will give Mitt an opportunity to, once again, unexpectedly impress voters on the depth and breadth of his international experience and knowledge. The media have painted him as a lightweight on foreign policy, someone out of his depth. Mitt can and will highlight his substantial foreign exposure through his public, private, and religious experiences.

The wildcard issue for tonight is Banghazi … and not in a good way for Obama.


Despite the President’s higher foreign policy numbers in general, this recent Ohio poll (that was even a +8% Dem sample) showed Mitt UP 49%-47% on the question: “Do you trust Barack Obama or Mitt Romney more on the issue of Libya?” Mitt did miss an opportunity to fully expose Obama on Libya in debate #2. Don’t expect a replay of that tonight …

Romney’s Grand Slam Win of the Islands: Victory in Puerto Rico!

It’s a landslide!

Friday, March 16, 2012 - A huge crowd cheers while awaiting the arrival of Mitt and Ann Romney at a campaign rally in San Juan, Puerto Rico.

(Photo/Evan Vucci/AP)


Governor Romney scored a HUGE win today in Puerto Rico!

GOP presidential candidate Mitt Romney won a crushing victory in Puerto Rico’s primary contest on Sunday.

CNN and the Associated Press both projected Romney as the winner shortly before 7 p.m., three hours after polls closed in the island territory.

With 11 percent of precincts reporting, Romney had 82 percent of the vote followed by former Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum with 9 percent. Former House Speaker Newt Gingrich (Ga.) had 3 percent of the votes cast, followed by Rep. Ron Paul (Texas) at 1 percent.

Romney was seen as the leading candidate in the territory, as he had the endorsement of Gov. Luis Fortuño (R), who also campaigned with Romney late last week.

Puerto Rico has 20 delegates up for grabs, all of which go to Romney on passing the 50 percent threshold. The island only awards delegates proportionally if none of the candidates receive half of the vote.

Both Romney and Santorum visited the territory last week in an effort to win delegates in what could be a prolonged GOP nomination fight.

Romney held two events on the island, including a rally on Saturday in Old San Juan, where he was joined by Mr. Fortuño, a prominent advocate of statehood for the territory.

The win increases Romney’s delegate count to more than 500, and he still has more than twice as many as Rick Santorum.

(emphasis added to article)

Tweet from The Gov:

Ann and I are deeply grateful to @LuisFortuno51, his wife, & the people of Puerto Rico for their support & help in winning today’s primary.

Here’s a look at CNN’s election projection::

Here’s video of Mitt and Ann getting the news they had won (Drudge on iPad… gotta love it!):


Many Romney supporters watched a live feed of a roof-raising, hand-clapping RALLY held in Puerto Rico. Amazing! Enthusiasm was OFF THE CHARTS and we fell in love with Puerto Ricans. I wish I had the full video; here’s a small portion of the event (Gov Fortuno begins his English intro of Mitt @ 8:32):


Video streaming by Ustream

Romney is to be commended on his grand slam win of the islands: Puerto Rico, Guam, Northern Marianas Islands, U.S. Virgin Islands, American Samoa, and Hawaii!

Now, our focus is on this Tuesday’s primary in Illinois (69 delegates) and Thursday’s primary in Louisiana (46 delegates). The islands got it right; time to close this process and rally behind Romney. Let’s get started on unifying the GOP and taking on the monumental task of beating Obama.

Thanks to all who voted for The Gov today and helped in any way. We appreciate Romney supporters who are making phone calls on his behalf. He needs our help; it’s easy! Click here to keep those calls going.

Here’s a pic taken by Romney Campaign embed D.G. Jackson: “Mitt with 5 year old Celina. She was so excited to meet him.” March 17, 2012

If you missed seeing The Gov on FOX News Sunday today, click below the fold to see video. (Brett Baier substituted for Chris Wallace) More pics from Puerto Rico, too…

(more…)

Mitt Romney Wins All 18 Delegates From Guam and the Northern Marianas

Matt Romney and his wife Representing Mitt

Matt Romney and his wife, Laurie, representing Mitt

Mitt Romney today made the following statement on winning all 9 delegates in Guam:

I am grateful to have won all nine delegates in Guam, and I am pleased that my son Matt was able to visit the island on my behalf and be there for the caucuses. The people of Guam have always stood bravely for America and the values we hold dear. Today we stand together in our efforts to secure the future that this nation deserves. I am honored to have won the Guam caucuses, an important milestone in my quest to restore America to the principles and practices that made us great.

Photo provided by Reuters

UPDATE: Romney wins all 9 delegates in Northern Marianas caucus.

Mitt Romney made the following statement on winning all 9 delegates in the Northern Mariana Islands:

“The Northern Mariana Islands may be far away from the mainland, but one of the great things about our democracy is that every voice has a chance to be heard in selecting a presidential candidate. Now the voters of the Northern Mariana Islands—nearly 8,000 miles from Washington, D.C.—have spoken. And what they’ve said today is that they want to bring change to their beautiful islands by bringing change to our nation’s capital. My son Matt told me about his visit to Saipan and the warm reception he received, and I am honored and delighted to have the support of all nine of the CNMI’s delegates.”

Check out our updated Primary Results and Delegate Count. It’ll be interesting to see how many delegates Santorum and Gingrich officially end up getting out of Wyoming tomorrow.

UPDATE by Jayde – How Mitt “Guamney” Is Putting Santorum Away

Romney’s wins, big and obscure, are giving him a dramatic lead in the currency that counts: Delegates. On to Samoa!

Mitt Romney’s victories today in Guam and the Northern Marianas Islands were greeted with amusement yesterday afternoon by the political class, as the time difference from the Pacific Ocean allowed Saturday’s news to break Friday.

But Romney’s sweeps in the obscure caucuses are part of the reason that the Republican professional class has begun to write off the nomination. With the exception of a strong showing in the non-binding Minnesota caucuses, the victories of Romney’s main rival, Rick Santorum, have been symbolic; Romney’s victories and second-place finishes have brought him the currency of the nomination fight, delegates.

(emphasis added) Continue reading here.

Matt Romney, son of Mitt Romney, is greeted by Victor Cruz, Republican Party of Guam Vice Chairman, after he and his wife Laurie arrived at the A.B. Won Pat Intl Airport, Guam. March 8, 2012 (Photo Rick Cruz/Pacific Daily)