PPP: GOP’s Best Bet to Defeat Obama is Mitt Romney


Public Policy Polling asks “Does the GOP need Romney to win?”

PPP research in Nevada, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire, Virginia, Michigan, and North Carolina reveals the answer…

A broad theme has been emerging in our state by state Presidential polling over the last couple months: if the Republicans nominate Mitt Romney it’s a toss up. And if they nominate anyone else it’s 2008 all over again. Our newest Nevada numbers very much reinforce that trend.

Barack Obama took the Silver State by 12 points in his first run. But if he had to stand for reelection today he’d be in a very competitive race against Romney, leading only 47-46 in the state. Pit him against any of the other Republicans there though and the numbers look pretty similar to last time- 9 point advantages over Herman Cain and Rick Perry at 48-39 and 49-40 respectively, a 10 point lead over Michele Bachmann at 50-40, and a 12 point advantage over Sarah Palin at 51-39.

Over the last month we’ve had similar findings in:

-Pennsylvania, where Obama is tied with Romney but leads all other Republicans by at least 7 points.

-New Hampshire, where Romney leads Obama by 2 points but all other Republicans trails Obama by at least 7.

-Virginia, where Obama leads Romney by 4 but has at least a 9 point advantage over all the rest of the GOP hopefuls.

-Michigan, where Obama has a 5 point advantage over Romney but at least a 15 point lead over everyone else.

-North Carolina, where the disparity between Romney and the rest of the Republicans isn’t quite as great. Obama and Romney are tied while Obama leads all the others by at least 3 points.

Taken all together it makes you ask the question: do Republicans have to nominate Romney to defeat Obama next year?
[...]
Obama’s holding his ground against everyone but Romney in Nevada because voters there find the whole GOP field even more unpalatable than him. Romney comes close to breaking even on favorability at 38/43 but the rest of the Republicans are quite unpopular- a -9 spread for Cain at 24/33, a -12 for Perry at 24/36, a -21 for Bachmann at 30/51, and a -28 for Palin at 32/60.

(emphasis added)


Read complete details here.


Considering ALL the media exposure Obama receives and that Romney, as the presumptive front runner, is taking hits from all sides, and that The Gov is just now shifting his presidential campaign into higher gear, our man Mitt is doing pretty darn well against our bully pulpit President.

H/t Lori
► Jayde Wyatt

Romney Campaign Shifting Into Higher Gear


Now that August is here…

the Romney campaign is shifting into higher gear.

WashingtonPost.com:

[...] Republican front-runner Mitt Romney plans to pick up his pace this month as the 2012 sweepstakes intensifies, with a blitz of appearances in early voting states and a list of policy proposals.

In what his top advisers described as a new phase of his campaign, Romney will focus almost exclusively on what he considers President Obama’s greatest vulnerability: the economy and job creation. Romney plans to continue his relentless assault on Obama[...]

In August, Romney plans to hold seven town hall events in New Hampshire, where he owns a vacation home and which he views as a must-win primary. He is scheduled to spend two days campaigning in Iowa, home to the nation’s first caucuses, and will hold fundraisers and possibly public events elsewhere across the country, including California, New York, Utah and Texas.

Romney’s campaign will intensify further in September, when he has committed to take the stage at three debates and plans to begin rolling out a detailed policy agenda with a series of major speeches.

Romney has kept a deliberately quiet profile in the early months of the campaign, even as he has faced pressure from some supporters to escalate his public activity. It’s a strategy that seems to have served him well, as he amassed a money advantage and kept his lead in early polls.

Given that Obama raised $47 million for his reelection and $38 million for the DNC in the second quarter, Romney’s schedule has been wisely balanced with plenty of fundraising events and public events. This week, just as wisely, he’s taking some well-deserved time off to enjoy his large family at Lake Winnipesaukee:

There’s a reason the success of Christmas sales in July is not tremendous,” said Stuart Stevens, Romney’s chief strategist. “There’s a rhythm to these things, and you want to talk about stuff when people are paying attention. I just think a whole level of people are going to begin to start to focus more in the fall.”

Stevens said that Romney is “working like a dog.” Indeed, his travel itinerary over the past few months has been intense. But the majority of his visits have been fundraising events closed to the press. Last week, he held just one public event, a factory tour and speech in Pataskala, Ohio. This week he has no events planned; aides said he is resting with his family in New Hampshire at their home on Lake Winnipesaukee.

Romney will begin his new push on Monday with a town hall in Nashua, N.H. From there, he heads to Iowa, where he will campaign Aug. 10 and visit the State Fair on Aug. 11 before that evening’s debate in Des Moines. Romney, who is skipping the straw poll, returns to New Hampshire Aug. 12 for a forum at Republican activist Ovide Lamontagne’s Manchester home. Romney plans more New Hampshire town halls on Aug. 15 in Plymouth, Aug. 16 in Berlin, Aug. 24 in Lebanon and Aug. 25 in Kingston and Dover.

(emphasis added)


► Jayde Wyatt

Pawlenty NH Steering Committee Member, State Rep Shaun Doherty, Resigns to Help Mitt Romney


Pawlenty’s loss, Romney’s gain…



DROPPING PAWLENTY

State Rep. Shaun Doherty, R-Pelham, says he still likes and respects GOP presidential candidate and former Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty, but he’s frustrated with the lack of New Hampshire activity by his campaign.

As a result, Doherty told the Granite Status, he’s resigned from Pawlenty’s New Hampshire steering committee and has decided to back former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney.

Doherty was one of the original eight Granite Staters named to the Pawlenty steering committee in April.

He said today that since then, he’s shown up at some events and has called friends and his own supporters on Pawlenty’s behalf, but has not been asked to do anything specific by the campaign.

“I have an enormous amount of respect and admiration for Tim Pawlenty,” said the 23-year-old second-term lawmaker, who four years ago was the state youth chairman for John McCain’s New Hampshire campaign.

“The campaign hasn’t really developed into what I thought it would develop into,” Doherty said. “They’re doing a lot of really good things but it doesn’t seem to be working. And their not quite capitalizing on the momentum that they had with their launch.

They haven’t capitalized on their opportunities. It just hasn’t developed.”

Doherty said Romney “is running a very strong campaign in New Hampshire and I feel I’d like to participate in that campaign.”

Pawlenty has not been to New Hampshire since the June 13 presidential debate, spending almost all of his time in first-caucus state Iowa leading up to the Aug. 13 Ames, Iowa GOP presidential straw poll

“But that’s not the only real factor. There were a lot of small things,” he said.

Doherty is the second state House member to have expressed frustration with Pawlenty in the past week.

We spoke last week with Rep. Win Hutchinson, R-Manchester, who told us he briefly considered bolting the Pawlenty camp out of frustration with Pawlenty’s initial comments about Michele Bachmann’s migraine headaches, but then reconsidered and decided to stay on board, at least for now.

(my emphasis)

Welcome aboard, Shaun!

► Jayde Wyatt

Romney Campaign Releases New Video: Mitt on the Road in New Hampshire

A new video from the Romney campaign…


Mitt on the Road: North Country (in New Hampshire)

It’s pretty obvious how much Mitt loves scenic New Hampshire and that he’s completely dedicated to seeing JOBS abound – not just for northern residents of The Granite State – but for all Americans.

A bit of interesting reading…

Pawlenty ad appropriates Romney thematic

Obama Legacy May Be Withering American Dream

Poll: Weakened Obama would lose vote today


► Jayde Wyatt

Mitt Romney Op-Ed: Obama Made Recession Worse

I don’t know how I missed this yesterday, but it looks like Mitt got a chance to rebut some of the claims made in a recent editorial on the Concord Monitor.

Here’s a portion of the Op-Ed from MittRomney.com:

Elections are about differences. Yes, I have some differences with the Concord Monitor’s recent editorial about my views. Newspapers play a vital role in the democracy and the Monitor, publishing daily since 1864, is among the venerable. Accordingly, I think it’s valuable to hash out our respective views.

I do indeed believe that President Obama has failed us. I am delighted that the auto industry is recovering, but that would have been less costly to taxpayers had Presidents Bush and Obama encouraged the companies to reorganize under the bankruptcy code, as do other companies in distress. If needed, government guarantees should have come after the restructuring, not before it. I am pleased that New Hampshire unemployment is faring better than the national average. But the President is the leader of the entire nation, not of just one industry or of one state.

The nation is suffering. Three years into his four year term, 20 million Americans are out of work, have given up, or are underemployed in part time jobs. Home values continue to go down. Foreclosures are at near-record record levels. Our national debt is skyrocketing–President Obama is on course to add as much debt by the end of his term as all the former presidents combined. Your editorial labels my conclusion that the President has “failed us” as an “absurd charge.” But given this record, I can reach no other conclusion.

Your editorial takes me to task for saying that he made the recession worse. He did. I have spoken with employers across the country and with few exceptions, they point to the President’s policies on taxation, cap and trade, card check, Dodd-Frank, Obamacare, regulatory expansion, and alarming federal deficits as having deepened and lengthened the recession. Economists tell us that we have been in the recovery period for two years, but as The Wall Street Journal concluded, President Obama’s recovery is not only anemic, it is one of the worst on record. The President made the recession worse and he made the recovery worse.

Continue reading at MittRomney.com

~Update from Ross

It’s becoming an easier and easier comparison to make every day, but I’m still impressed that Gov. Romney is making sure people think of Jimmy Carter when they hear President Obama talk about the economy.

Laura Ingraham put together a little audio clip that helps drive the point home as well:

New Hampshire: Romney Widens Gap (WMUR Poll), Talks Economy in Hampton & Wolfeboro (VIDEO)


A new state poll conducted by the University of New Hampshire shows Mitt Romney continues to widen the gap in The Granite State and would defeat Obama:

The Daily Caller:

WMUR Granite State poll:

Mitt Romney – 35%
Michele Bachman – 12%
Rudy Giuliani – 7%
Ron Paul – 7%
Rick Perry – 4%
Sarah Palin – 3%
Tim Pawlenty – 3%
Herman Cain – 2%
Jon Huntsman Jr. – 2%
Newt Gingrich – 1%

BELOW 1%:
Gary Johnson
Buddy Roemer
Rick Santorum

General election:

Mitt Romney 47% Barack Obama 43%
Barack Obama 47% Tim Pawlenty 38%
Barack Obama 47% Michele Bachmann 41%

Romney would beat Obama in a head-to-head competition, the poll found, surveying both Republicans and Democrats. The former Massachusetts governor got 47 percent of the vote, while Obama got only 43 percent.

Palin and Newt Gingrich top the list of candidates that Republican voters “would not vote for under any circumstances.” 23 percent said they would never vote for Palin, and 16 percent said they would never vote for Gingrich.

The poll surveyed 773 people – 357 likely Republican primary voters and 263 likely Democratic primary voters. The margin of error for the full sample is plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.

(emphasis added)



The Gov’s schedule today:

● Mitt Romney
Hosting a townhall meeting at Bayside Grill and Tavern
51 Mill Street, Wolfeboro, N.H.

● Mitt Romney
Participating in a roundtable discussion with small business owners
325 Lafayette Road, Hampton, N.H.

Romney talks economy in visit to Hampton


HAMPTON – Presidential hopeful and former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney met with locals from Hampton Tuesday, July 5, to talk about what he claims are failed policies of President Obama that have worsened the economy, and about what he would do if elected president.

Romney met with roughly a dozen residents and business owners during a lunch at the Galley Hatch to hear what they consider the biggest barriers to a thriving economy.

Those in attendance talked about how the economy has impacted their businesses and some said they even fear of the country heading into a double-dip recession.

Romney said if elected president he would concentrate on seven areas to reinvigorate the economy including having tax rates for employers that are competitive with other countries, and trade policies that work “for us and not just the people we trade (with).”
[...]
State Rep. Chris Nevins, R-Hampton, said he was impressed with Romney.

“I really believe this man has the capability to be the next president of the United States. His business background, intelligence, experience history all point to that direction,” said Nevins.

(emphasis added)

Continue reading here.

The Business Insider picked up on Romney’s seven rules of successful economies:

Romney lays down what he describes as seven rules of successful economies.

1. Make employer tax rates competitive, to attract businesses. He argues that U.S. corporate tax rates are now the second-highest in the world after Japan and must come down. (This does not include the state tax burden, which puts the U.S. over the top in most states.)

2. Streamline regulations and create a bureaucracy geared to cooperating with the private sector.

3. Embrace fair trade policies, and work to eliminate unacceptable infractions, such as China’s persistently undervalued currency and theft of intellectual property.

4. Energy policy must be practical; no country should be spending money needlessly on energy imports.

5. Any successful country must have an unquestioned rule of law.

6. Immigration and education policies must ensure the availability of extraordinary human capital.

7. A government should not be spending more than it takes in.

How does the president score on these guidelines?

Read more here.

Romney’s townhall meeting in Wolfeboro, NH today:




H/t Crystal (The Business Insider article)

► Jayde Wyatt

Romney Receives CA Endorsements, Leads in all 5 GOP Early States

Mitt Romney stands in front of fence separating the U.S. from Mexico with former CA Assemblyman Tony Strickland (now CA Senator) and CA Senator Mark Wyland in San Diego, CA (8/13/07). Yesterday, Romney received endorsements from a group of CA politicians, including Strickland and Wyland.

From prestigious California endorsements yesterday to strong polling results in Florida, Mitt Romney is making coast-to-coast news.

From The Golden State: Romney Racks Up Endorsements for 2012

Mitt Romney is solidifying his status as front-runner in the GOP presidential nomination race. On Thursday, he picked up the backing of a group of Californians[...]

That includes House Armed Services Committee Chairman Buck McKeon and Rep. Mary Bono Mack of the state’s contingent in Washington. The group also comprises state Senate GOP Leader Bob Dutton, state Sens. Tony Strickland, Sharon Runner, Bob Huff, Sam Blakeslee and Mark Wyland; and Assemblymen Paul Cook and Jim Silva.

McKeon cited Romney’s strength on economic issues in his endorsement. “President Obama’s policies have failed California and the country,” McKeon said. “Mitt Romney has a proven record of job creation in both the private sector and as a governor.” McKeon also supported Romney in 2008.

(emphasis added)

Bob Dutton also added: “Mitt Romney knows how the economy works and he has the much-needed experience to lead the country out of the economic downturn.”


From The Sunshine State: Romney Leads the Way in Florida (PPP poll)

Mitt Romney has a double digit lead for the Republican Presidential nomination in Florida, further cementing his front runner status in the wake of Mike Huckabee’s exit from the race.

Romney is at 27% to 17% for Sarah Palin and Michele Bachmann, 10% for Herman Cain, 8% for Newt Gingrich, 7% for Ron Paul, 4% for Tim Pawlenty, and 2% for Jon Huntsman.

Romney now has the outright lead in PPP’s most recent polls in all 5 of the key early Republican contests: in addition to the Florida advantage he’s up by 9 in South Carolina, 6 in Iowa, 15 in Nevada, and 23 in New Hampshire.
[...]
Romney’s Florida lead is built on a familiar formula. He’s not winning with the far right voters who constitute a plurality of the Republican electorate, but he’s at least staying competitive with them. Meanwhile he’s dominating the field with moderates (a 36-15 lead over Palin) and with voters who identify themselves as just ‘somewhat conservative’ (a 32-15 advantage over Bachmann.)

While Bachmann’s rising with Florida Republicans, Gingrich has tanked. On our last poll he was tied for the lead with Romney at 18%. Now he finds himself in 5th place and with less than half as much support at 8%. Beyond Gingrich other people who have to be seen as losers on this poll are Huntsman and Pawlenty. Huntsman’s 2% standing is consistent with how he’s polling with pretty much every group of voters except beltway journalists. And Pawlenty’s 4% in Florida matches his 4% in South Carolina- he doesn’t have any resonance yet with GOP voters in the south.

(emphasis added)

Continue reading here.

► Jayde Wyatt

16 Days in June… Mitt Romney’s Very Good Month

Mitt Romney announces candidacy for President of the United States at Scamman Farms in Stratham, New Hampshire. June 2, 2011


Only 16 days since Mitt Romney announced his candidacy for President of the United States and June is being called…

Mitt’s very good month.


Former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney has enjoyed an impressive last month in the presidential race as his strengths, his opponents’ weaknesses and an economy-centered national debate have combined to solidify his status as the frontrunner for the Republican nomination.

The new NBC/Wall Street Journal national poll affirms Romney’s strengthened position. He stood at 30 percent in a hypothetical 2012 matchup followed by former Alaska governor Sarah Palin at 14 percent and businessman Herman Cain at 12 percent. No other candidate received double digit support.

So, what’s gone right for Romney over the past month?

As always in politics, movement never happens because of just one factor. Here are a few that have likely fueled Romney’s rise:

* His formal entrance into the race earlier this month drew considerable media attention and was, by and large, favorably reviewed.

* The May jobs report showed just 54,000 jobs created and the unemployment rate moving up to 9.1 percent, allowing Romney to double-down on his attacks against President Obama’s fiscal policies.

* Romney was solid and serious during Monday night’s debate, a performance that put him on most post-game “winners” lists. The stumbles in that same debate by former Minnesota governor Tim Pawlenty, who tried to make up for lost time on Thursday, further elevated Romney.

Read more at Politico.

Chris Cillizza ranks the candidates:

10. Ron Paul
9. Newt Gingrich
8. Rick Santorum
7. Herman Cain
6. Sarah Palin
5. Rick Perry
4. Jon Huntsman
3. Michele Bachmann
2. Tim Pawlenty
1. Mitt Romney

This is what a well-run presidential campaign looks like. Unlike in 2008, Romney isn’t trying to be everything to everyone. Instead, he’s picking his moments and, like the debate on Monday, performing well when he does wade in. His upticking poll numbers reflect the steadiness of his effort over the past month. Romney’s path to the nomination is still a complicated one — especially for a frontrunner — but he sits in the catbird’s seat at the moment. (Previous ranking: 1)




► Jayde Wyatt

VIDEO – Romney: "Mr. President, in Order to Create Jobs, it Helps to Have Had a Job."

The latest video from the Romney camp challenges President Obama on the Economy:

Also, Politico has scanned the mailer the campaign is sending to people in New Hampshire.

Democrats and Republicans Agree on Something… Mitt Romney Won the Debate

National Journal took a poll of republicans and of democrats to see who won the debate.

A survey of GOP insiders indicates that Mitt Romney was the biggest winner of Monday night’s CNN/WMUR/New Hampshire Union Leader Republican presidential debate.

According to a National Journal Political Insiders poll, 51 percent of those questioned say that the former Massachusetts governor was the biggest winner of the debate, with 21 percent saying that Rep. Michele Bachmann of Minnesota was the winner. In third place in the survey was former Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty at nine percent, followed by former House Speaker Newt Gingrich at seven percent, former Godfather’s Pizza CEO and radio talk show host Herman Cain and former Sen. Rick Santorum of Pennsylvania at four percent.

None of the 54 Republican political operatives, strategists, campaign consultants and lobbyists who are part of the National Journal’s regular panel of Washington insiders said that Rep. Ron Paul of Texas was the biggest winner of the debate.

So who was the biggest loser?

Twenty-six percent say Pawlenty, with 19 percent saying Cain was the biggest loser. Twelve percent pick Gingrich as the person who lost the most, followed by Romney at 11 percent, Santorum at seven percent and Bachmann and Paul each at four percent.

National Journal also surveyed a similar amount of Democratic Party insiders, with 35 percent saying Romney was the biggest winner, followed by 26 percent choosing Bachmann as the clear winner.

Here’s some more reaction to the debate:

The Fix had this to say on Gov. Romney (who was listed in the winners category): “Romney came into the debate as the frontrunner in New Hampshire and nationally and he did nothing in the 120 minutes on stage at Saint Anselm College to change that. Romney was serious and well informed — in a word: presidential. His debate experience from 2008 clearly paid off as he stayed focused on President Obama and the economy to the exclusion of almost everything else. Romney also benefited from the fact that none of his rivals seemed to have the stomach to attack him directly. And, health care was — at best — a tangential topic. All in all a very good night for Romney.”

BigGovernment gives the nod to Mitt.

RedState’s Erick Erickson says Mitt won the debate.

Politico gives the award for First Place to Mitt as well.

Also, a website called Mashable, which takes into account how the candidates are responded to on social networks, had this to say: “The stand-out frontrunner was Mitt Romney, who ended the night with the greatest number of new Facebook Likes and the greatest overall Likes on his Page.”

Here’s this little Gem from Yahoo:

The first major Republican presidential debate was held in New Hampshire last night, and by all accounts, especially on social media, Mitt Romney dominated. After the debate, Romney gained the most “likes” on his Facebook page, bringing his total to almost 1 million, the most of all the candidates.

Finally, our buddies at ComMITTed to Romney compiled some more reactions.

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