Inquiring Minds Want to Know: How Much 2nd Quarter Money did Romney Raise?


Hope everyone had a fantastic July 4th weekend

We’ll jump right in today with a look at how Mitt Romney’s second quarter fundraising is fodder for speculation:

TheHill.com – Romney’s war chest sets Republican fundraising yardstick

The strength of Mitt Romney’s war chest — expected to be between $15 million and $20 million — will be the yardstick against which other GOP presidential candidates’ are measured.

The former Massachusetts governor’s official second-quarter haul will become known in the next few weeks. He faced high expectations after having raised $10 million in pledges during a single day of calls, which his campaign sought to tamp down on.

Regardless, the front-running candidate is expected to outpace his rivals when it comes to fundraising.

Only three GOP presidential contenders — former Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty (R), former Ambassador to China Jon Huntsman (R) and pizza magnate Herman Cain (R) — have released their second-quarter numbers; none of them came close to Romney’s suspected haul.

Pawlenty raised $4.2 million, a figure considered relatively disappointing for a candidate of his stature, while Huntsman raised $4.1 million, a figure padded in part by self-contributions from his personal fortune. Cain said last week that he’d raised just under $2.5 million.

Meanwhile, Rep. Michele Bachmann (R-Minn.) and former House Speaker Newt Gingrich (R-Ga.) have yet to release their numbers.

Bachmann turned heads earlier this year after boasting that her combined funds (from her congressional campaign and her PAC) were greater than Romney’s first-quarter haul. She’s unlikely to come close to repeating that this quarter, but as she surges in the polls, her fundraising report could provide some indication of her traction.

By contrast, Gingrich’s report will provide some indication of just how much his campaign was crippled by the departure of top aides and finance officials in the last month. He set low expectations over the weekend, telling the Los Angeles Times that his numbers “will not be as good as we would like, and candidly, the consultants left us in debt.”

Meanwhile, Rep. Ron Paul (R-Texas) was a fundraising machine during his 2008 presidential campaign, drawing on the fervor of grassroots supports to fund his so-called “money bombs.” His quarterly filing will be a test of whether those intense supporters will still drive his 2012 effort, financially and otherwise.

And, in terms of possible candidates, observers will be watching former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin’s (R) Sarah PAC for signs of strength, especially after the bus tour she took last month that received heavy media attention, along with a revamped website and online operation for the PAC.

However, the combined totals of all the GOP contenders are unlikely to come close to President Obama’s second-quarter total. His campaign set a $60 million goal but hasn’t released its official haul.

(emphasis added)

For details on fundraising for Senate candidates continue reading here.

By the way, Bachmann’s first-quarter fundraising wasn’t all she hyped it to be.

Whatever Romney’s second quarter fundraising numbers are, Restore Our Future PAC, a recently created super PAC formed by independent Romney supporters, should give The Gov additional heft.

UPDATE: Pro Romney Super PAC raises $12 million

Restore Our Future, a so-called “Super PAC”organized by former political aides to Mitt Romney and designed to help him in the 2012 presidential race, collected $12 million in the first six months of 2011.

“There is tremendous support across the country for Mitt Romney,” said Charlie Spies, one of the PAC’s founders. “Americans are coming out in support of Governor Romney because they are confident he has the experience to turn our economy around.”
[...]
The pro-Romney super PAC is the only one of its kind in the Republican race. The PAC has not yet said how or where it will spend its money but given the involvement of McCarthy it seems likely that Restore Our Future will focus on television ads.



► Jayde Wyatt

Update from Ross
Romney Raises More Than All His Republican Contenders Combined

State Rep. Renee Schulte makes some interesting observations as well.

Romney Out West: CO & ID Today, Tops CA Poll, Names NV Campaign Co-Chairs


Governor Romney is continuing western work

After spending time in *Nevada last week, he’s in Colorado today. Then, he’ll be heading to California for a few days and will be in Utah on June 24th.

Here’s a look at early good news for Romney from The Golden State..

Mitt Romney fares well in California Field Poll

Mitt Romney is getting some good news as he arrives to spend three days fundraising in California this week: He holds a solid lead over his 2012 GOP presidential rivals among the state’s Republican voters, a new Field Poll shows.

Romney is preferred by 25 percent of registered GOP voters, giving the former Massachusetts governor a double-digit lead over each of his challengers.[...]

Mitt Romney – 25 %
Rudy Giuliani – 17 %
Sarah Palin – 10%
Ron Paul – 7%
Newt Gingrich – 6%
Herman Cain – 6%
Rick Perry – 5%
Michele Bachmann – 4%
Tim Pawlenty – 3%
Rick Santorum – 2%
Jon Huntsman – 1%

Romney’s closest competition comes from two candidates who haven’t even joined the race to deny Democratic President Obama a second term: former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani (17 percent), and former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin (10 percent). If Giuliani is taken out of the field, Romney’s lead widens – to 30 percent and a more than 2-to-1 lead over Palin at 12 percent in second position, the poll shows.

The poll was taken June 3-13 among 950 registered voters, including 322 registered Republicans. The margin of error is 3.3 percentage points on the general sample, and 5.7 percentage points on the GOP sample.

(emphasis added)

*Nevada News (6/17/11)…

Mitt Romney returns to Las Vegas for fundraiser

Republican presidential hopeful Mitt Romney is staying close to Nevada’s GOP leaders.

The former Massachusetts governor returned Friday to Las Vegas to collect more campaign donations during a $2,500-per-person fundraiser at a Lawry’s restaurant.

He also named Congressman Joe Heck and Lt. Gov. Brian Krolicki as his Nevada campaign co-chairs.

Krolicki told reporters at the fundraiser that Romney is best positioned among the Republican presidential hopefuls to fix the economy.
[...]
He is the only major GOP presidential contender focusing on Nevada so far. He has made several visits to the Silver State in recent months.

(emphasis added)

UPDATE – Romney is also touring The Gem State today:

Associated Press

Romney attended a private campaign fundraiser breakfast in downtown Boise Monday morning before heading off to another event in Idaho Falls.

Romney is no stranger to Idaho. In the last presidential election cycle, Romney made several stops to the Gem State to raise money and support in his bid for the GOP nomination.

The Spokesman-Review reports that Romney also announced his statewide steering committee. The list includes Gov. C.L. “Butch” Otter, U.S. Sen. Jim Risch, U.S. Rep. Mike Simpson and Secretary of State Ben Ysursa, among other top Idaho Republicans.




► Jayde Wyatt

Romney Ahead… Polls Released from Rasmussen & Public Policy Polling

Rasmussen and Public Policy Polling released new numbers today. Mitt Romney leads…
Romney, Bachmann, Cain Lead The Pack Among GOP Primary Voters (poll taken Monday night after presidential debate in New Hampshire):

Mitt Romney – 33%
Michele Bachmann – 19%
Herman Cain – 10%
Newt Gingrich – 9%
Ron Paul – 7%
Tim Pawlenty – 6%
Rick Santorum – 6%
Jon Huntsman – 2% (Huntsman didn’t participate in the debate.)

Romney and Bachmann are tied among primary voters who say they are Tea Party members, with 26% support each. Romney holds a 36% to 16% lead over the congresswoman among non-members. Most primary voters regard all the candidates with the exception of Huntsman as conservative, but Bachmann is seen as the most conservative.
[...]
The survey of 1,000 Likely GOP Primary Voters was conducted on June 14, 2011 by Rasmussen Reports. Likely GOP Primary Voters include both Republicans and unaffiliated voters likely to vote in a GOP Primary. The margin of sampling error is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. [...]

For the third week in a row, a generic Republican candidate leads President Obama in a hypothetical 2012 election matchup. But while 54% of Likely Voters nationwide think Obama is qualified to be president, Romney is the only 2012 Republican hopeful that a sizable number of voters feel that way about.

(emphasis added)


PPP Poll: Romney still leading the pack

[...] Romney continuing to hold his lead over the Republican field in a nationwide survey, even on a trial heat ballot with so-called Republican fantasy candidates like Chris Christie, Paul Ryan, and Jeb Bush.

Mitt Romney – 22%
Herman Cain – 17%
Sarah Palin – 15%
Pawlenty – 9%
Newt Gingrich – 9%
Michele Bachmann – 8%
Ron Paul – 7%
Jon Huntsman – 1%

While the rankings don’t change much without Palin in the race; Romney and Bachmann benefit the most:

Romney – 27%
Cain – 20%
Bachmann – 13%
Gingrich – 12%
Pawlenty – 10%

The poll surveyed 544 usual Republican primary voters nationwide, using an automated phone survey over the period between June 9 and June 12. That means that the results pre-date the debate on Monday in New Hampshire, of which Romney and Bachmann were declared the big winners. The poll’s margin of error is plus or minus 4.2 percent.





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► Jayde Wyatt

Gov. Romney gains 9% in the latest WSJ poll as well.

Democrats and Republicans Agree on Something… Mitt Romney Won the Debate

National Journal took a poll of republicans and of democrats to see who won the debate.

A survey of GOP insiders indicates that Mitt Romney was the biggest winner of Monday night’s CNN/WMUR/New Hampshire Union Leader Republican presidential debate.

According to a National Journal Political Insiders poll, 51 percent of those questioned say that the former Massachusetts governor was the biggest winner of the debate, with 21 percent saying that Rep. Michele Bachmann of Minnesota was the winner. In third place in the survey was former Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty at nine percent, followed by former House Speaker Newt Gingrich at seven percent, former Godfather’s Pizza CEO and radio talk show host Herman Cain and former Sen. Rick Santorum of Pennsylvania at four percent.

None of the 54 Republican political operatives, strategists, campaign consultants and lobbyists who are part of the National Journal’s regular panel of Washington insiders said that Rep. Ron Paul of Texas was the biggest winner of the debate.

So who was the biggest loser?

Twenty-six percent say Pawlenty, with 19 percent saying Cain was the biggest loser. Twelve percent pick Gingrich as the person who lost the most, followed by Romney at 11 percent, Santorum at seven percent and Bachmann and Paul each at four percent.

National Journal also surveyed a similar amount of Democratic Party insiders, with 35 percent saying Romney was the biggest winner, followed by 26 percent choosing Bachmann as the clear winner.

Here’s some more reaction to the debate:

The Fix had this to say on Gov. Romney (who was listed in the winners category): “Romney came into the debate as the frontrunner in New Hampshire and nationally and he did nothing in the 120 minutes on stage at Saint Anselm College to change that. Romney was serious and well informed — in a word: presidential. His debate experience from 2008 clearly paid off as he stayed focused on President Obama and the economy to the exclusion of almost everything else. Romney also benefited from the fact that none of his rivals seemed to have the stomach to attack him directly. And, health care was — at best — a tangential topic. All in all a very good night for Romney.”

BigGovernment gives the nod to Mitt.

RedState’s Erick Erickson says Mitt won the debate.

Politico gives the award for First Place to Mitt as well.

Also, a website called Mashable, which takes into account how the candidates are responded to on social networks, had this to say: “The stand-out frontrunner was Mitt Romney, who ended the night with the greatest number of new Facebook Likes and the greatest overall Likes on his Page.”

Here’s this little Gem from Yahoo:

The first major Republican presidential debate was held in New Hampshire last night, and by all accounts, especially on social media, Mitt Romney dominated. After the debate, Romney gained the most “likes” on his Facebook page, bringing his total to almost 1 million, the most of all the candidates.

Finally, our buddies at ComMITTed to Romney compiled some more reactions.

Mr. Fix-It Romney: Steady As He Goes… Tops Poll, Support in Florida


Steady as he goes!

There is a lot to report on this busy news day for Governor Romney, so we’ll jump right in…

Romney continues to fan out across the country; he’s heading to the Sunshine State. Key donors in Sarasota, Florida, are putting their money on Mitt Romney:

Romney fundraiser attracts key political players

Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, who officially announced his candidacy last week, is scheduled to be in Sarasota on June 16 for a private fund-raiser.

And the early guest lists for the event show Romney is building significant support among key political players and donors in the region.

State Sens. Nancy Detert, R-Venice, and Mike Bennett, R-Bradenton; developers Carlos Beruff and Henry Rodriguez; and Gary Kompothecras, the man behind the 1-800-ASK-GARY lawyer referral network, are all among those on the invite list for the $250-per-person lunch reception at the Sarasota Yacht Club.

“It shows he has staying power,” said Bennett, who supported Romney in 2008 before his loss to eventual Republican nominee John McCain.

“Romney has the best shot of any of the early Republican candidates of beating President Barack Obama,” said Linda Long, a GOP activist and president of the Republican Women’s Club of Sarasota.

Long said Romney already has the name recognition, the business background and the ability to raise the money needed to beat Obama.

“He has broad and wide experience,” Long said.

The Sunshine State is also the site of the 2012 Republican National Convention; it will be held in Tampa on August 27, 2012.


Rasmussen surveyed 1,000 likely U.S. voters on June 2-3 and here are the good news results:


Mitt Romney is the only Republican 2012 hopeful that a sizable number of voters considers qualified to be president. Sarah Palin is the one they view as least qualified, but, at this early stage, many voters are still in the dark about all the possible candidates.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 49% of Likely U.S. Voters think that Romney, a former Massachusetts governor and unsuccessful GOP presidential candidate in 2008, is qualified to be president. Twenty-five percent (25%) say he is not qualified, and another 25% are not sure. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Still, that’s well above how voters view some of Romney’s chief competitors in the race. Twenty-seven percent (27%) rate both former Minnesota Governor Tim Pawlenty and maverick Texas GOP Congressman Ron Paul as qualified to be in the White House. But 32% say Pawlenty is not qualified, and 42% are undecided. As for Paul, 43% think he’s not qualified to serve as president, but 31% aren’t sure.

Twenty-six percent (26%) believe former House Speaker Newt Gingrich has the qualifications to be president, but nearly half (48%) disagree. Twenty-six percent (26%) are not sure.

However, voters feel strongest that Palin, the Republican vice presidential nominee in 2008, is not qualified. Twenty-three percent (23%) say the former Alaska governor is qualified to serve as the nation’s chief executive, but 63% say she is not qualified. Palin is the best-known of the Republicans with just 15% undecided about her.
[...]
Twenty percent (20%) of voters say Minnesota Congresswoman Michele Bachmann and former Utah Governor Jon Huntsman are qualified to be president. Forty-five percent (45%), though, say Bachmann is not qualified enough, and one-in-three (34%) don’t know her well enough to venture any opinion.

Twenty-eight percent (28%) think Huntsman, who recently stepped down as U.S. ambassador to China, lacks the qualifications to be president, but over half (52%) have no opinion.

Businessman Herman Cain is seen as qualified to serve as president by only 18% and not qualified enough by 35%. Forty-seven percent (47%) aren’t sure.

(emphasis added)

*Word is PPP has more good news for Romney; Nate will post details later.


Who is Dr. Fix-It? Obama or Romney?

Political commentator David Gergen (CNN) weighs in on Obama’s handling of America’s economic crisis (6/3/11):



Don’t forget to watch Governor Romney tonight at 9:00 PM ET on the Piers Morgan TV show.


► Jayde Wyatt

Romney to Appear on ‘Piers Morgan Tonight’ – Polling High in New Hampshire

“His first prime-time interview! He’ll talk about the economy, Palin, and ObamaCare!”

That’s how CNN is advertising Governor Mitt Romney’s appearance on Piers Morgan Tonight Monday evening, June 6, 2011, at 9:00 PM ET. (Check local listings for additional airing times.) Don’t miss it!

When Morgan launched his program earlier this year (he took over Larry King’s time slot on CNN) he quickly booked Romney to appear on his show. Since announcing his presidential candidacy a few days ago, The Gov has also been featured on an extended segment on Sean Hannity’s afternoon program (FOX News).




More good news coming out of New Hampshire… A poll taken from New Hampshire voters regarding GOP presidential candidates (data gathered on 5/22/11 released 5/28/11), including numbers for those who aren’t officially in the race, reveal very good numbers for Romney.

CNN/WMUR Poll NH Poll:

CNN has released the results of their latest CNN WMUR poll, the results of which they are reporting as “far from settled,” despite strong numbers for Gov. Mitt Romney in almost every category except one – the handling of terrorism. In that category, Rudy Giuliani bested Romney 19% to 16%. Of course, this early in the primary season, with half the people on the list not even announced candidates, “far from settled” is an understatement. Even so, it’s useful to see the results of the CNN WMUR poll in graphic form, where the gulf between the front runner and his followers becomes much more apparent.

Leadership: In response to the question, “Which candidate do you feel is the strongest leader?” 40% of likely GOP voters in New Hampshire answered Romney. That’s more than three times the number of votes either of his two nearest competitors received. Giulani got 12%, and Gingrich 11%. No other candidate received more than 3%.

The Economy: When asked which candidate would be best able to handle the economy, a solid 44% chose Romney. That shouldn’t come as a surprise to anyone, since the economy has been Romney’s forte and focus. His strategy will be to focus like a laser beam on jobs and the economy, rather than allow his message to get muddled as it did in 2008.

Experience: The candidate judged to have the experience necessary to be president was again Romney, with 29%. The number was almost three times higher than the second place candidate, Sarah Palin, who received 10%, and Rudy Giuliani in third place with 8%. Some may find it interesting that a Mayor scored higher in experience than four governors.


(emphasis added in all quotes)

Mitt Romney also polled highest in: Best Able to Handle Budget Deficit, Most Believable, Represents My Values, Likeability, Best Able to Handle Health Care, Best Chance at Beating Obama.

See details here.






Lastly, here’s a liberal artist’s interpretation of GOP participants in the June 13th presidential debate in New Hampshire:

What do you think?


Eh…

I think it’s time to oust our sketchy president.





► Jayde Wyatt

Mitt Romney to Speak at Faith & Freedom Conference in D.C. Tonight

Scroll to the bottom to see the YouTube video of Mitt’s speech.

Mitt Romney is in our nation’s capitol tonight to speak at the Faith & Freedom Conference and Strategy Briefing. The second annual event is being held at the Renaissance Washington, D.C. Downtown Hotel.

You can now watch Ann’s introduction followed by Mitt’s speech here.

Tonight’s schedule:
7:00 PM – 10:00 PM EST

Donald Trump
Tim Pawlenty
Mitt Romney
Ron Paul

Michele Bachmann and Jon Huntsman spoke earlier today. Those among the speakers for the two day event include: Herman Cain, Ron Paul, Tim Pawlenty, Donald Trump, Rick Santorum, and Glenn Beck.

C-Span TV channel will also air tonight’s program from 7:00 -10:00PM EST.

Romney supporters are invited to drop by our chat forum tonight during Gov Romney’s speech!



► Jayde Wyatt

UPDATE from Ross

While you’re waiting, check out the highlights Mitt’s video team put together from the big announcement yesterday:

Video of Mitt’s speech at the Faith & Freedom Coalition Conference below the fold. (more…)

POLL: Romney Still On Top In New Hampshire

Romney Leads Polls in New Hampshire

The Results from latest CNN-WMUR Poll:
Romney 32%
Paul 9%
Gingrich 6%
Giuliani 6%
Palin 5%
Bachmann 4%
Cain 4%
Daniels # 4%
Huntsman 4%
Pawlenty 4%
Santorum 2%
Johnson *
Someone else 3%
No opinion 17%




…But the vast majority not settled on their final choice:

Have you definitely decided who you will vote for in the New Hampshire primary, are you leaning toward someone, or do you have no idea who you’ll vote for?

Definitely decided 4%
Leaning toward someone 9%
No idea who you’ll vote for 87%


I know he hasn’t even formally announced, but it looks like Mitt’s got some convincing to do, yet. With his background in business, I trust he’ll close the deal with many weary voters before too long. Until then, we’ll anticipate his announcement.

UPDATE: I didn’t even look long enough to notice this gem:

Which Republican candidate do you think is best able to handle health care issues?
Romney 31%
Paul 8%
Gingrich 7%
Palin 5%
Bachmann 3%
Giuliani 3%
Pawlenty 3%
Santorum 3%
Cain 2%
Daniels 1%
Huntsman *
Johnson *
Karger *
Someone else 2%
No opinion 32%


-Luke G.

Romney Dominating in New Hampshire: Poll Also Provides Evidence That RomneyCare Won’t Hurt Mitt Much

Suffolk University/WHDH New Hampshire 2012 GOP Nomination Survey 

(400 likely GOP primary voters were polled April 30 – May 2, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points.  Full poll results)

  • Mitt Romney 35%
  • Rudy Giuliani 8%
  • Ron Paul 8%
  • Donald Trump 8%
  • Sarah Palin 7%
  • Mike Huckabee 6%
  • Tim Pawlenty 5%
  • Michele Bachmann & Newt Gingrich 3% each
  • Rick Santorum & Herman Cain 2% each
  • John Bolton, Mitch Daniels, & Gary Johnson 1% each
  • Jon Huntsman, Fred Karger, Roy Moore, & Buddy Roemer 0% each
  • Undecided 13%

A quick tally shows that more people voted for Romney than Palin, Huckabee, Pawlenty, Bachman, Santorum, Gingrich, Cain, Daniels, Bolton, Johnson, Huntsman, Roemer, Moore and Karger COMBINED!  That’s called poll domination!!!

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

  • Mitt Romney 65% / 22% {+43%}
  • Tim Pawlenty 30% / 13% {+17%}
  • Mike Huckabee 41% / 31% {+10%}
  • Newt Gingrich 38% / 38% {0%}
  • Sarah Palin 42% / 46% {-4%}
  • Barack Obama 36% / 59% {-23%}
  • Donald Trump 27% / 56% {-29%}
If your first choice for the Republican Presidential nominee dropped out of the race, who would you vote for instead?
  • Mitt Romney 17%
  • Mike Huckabee 10%
  • Rudy Giuliani 9%
  • Newt Gingrich 8%

Another quick tally shows that a MAJORITY (52%) of these NH voters have Mitt as either their #1 or #2.  With the field certain to winnow (Trump, Rudy, Palin for sure not running, and unlikely runs for Newt, Huck, and Bachman) Romney is poised to have an even larger lead than this poll reflects

Despite who you’re personally voting for, who do you expect the next president will be – Barack Obama or one of the Republican candidates?

(more…)

Suffolk University/WSVN Poll: Romney crushes GOP contenders, Beats Obama in Florida

Former Gov. Mitt Romney is the early front-runner in Florida’s Republican presidential primary, and he was the only Republican challenger who led President Barack Obama in a general election match-up there (43 percent to 42 percent), according to a Suffolk University/7NEWS (WSVN-Miami) poll of registered voters in Florida.

Republican voters said their top choice for a nominee was Romney (33 percent), followed by Mike Huckabee (14 percent), Newt Gingrich (9 percent), Donald Trump (8 percent) and Sarah Palin (8 percent), with 17 percent undecided.

Thinking about the 2012 Republican Primary for President of the United  States, if the candidates were (RANDOMIZE), for whom will you vote or toward whom would you LEAN at this time?

Mitt Romney 33%
Mike Huckabee 13%
Newt Gingrich 9%
Sarah Palin 8%
Donald Trump 8%
Haley Barbour 4%
Tim Pawlenty 3%
Ron Paul 2%
Michele Bachmann 1%

Head-to-head (Obama/Candidate/Undecided)

Mitt Romney 42/43/10 (+1)
Mike Huckabee 44/41/11 (-3)
Newt Gingrich 47/36/13 (-11)
Tim Pawlenty 41/28/25 (-13)
Michele Bachman 45/30/19 (-15)
Donald Trump 49/34/12 (-15)
Sarah Palin 52/34/10 (-18)
Ron Paul 48/30/18 (-18)
Haley Barbour 47/26/22 (-21)

The statewide survey of 600 Florida registered voters was conducted April 10-12, 2011. The margin of error is +/-4 percent at a 95 percent level of confidence. Marginals and full cross-tabulation data will be posted at 6 p.m. Wednesday, April 13, 2011, on the Suffolk University Political Research Center Web site.

The Full Story is HERE.
Marginals can be viewed HERE.
Crosstabs can be viewed HERE.

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