POLL: Romney Still On Top In New Hampshire

Romney Leads Polls in New Hampshire

The Results from latest CNN-WMUR Poll:
Romney 32%
Paul 9%
Gingrich 6%
Giuliani 6%
Palin 5%
Bachmann 4%
Cain 4%
Daniels # 4%
Huntsman 4%
Pawlenty 4%
Santorum 2%
Johnson *
Someone else 3%
No opinion 17%




…But the vast majority not settled on their final choice:

Have you definitely decided who you will vote for in the New Hampshire primary, are you leaning toward someone, or do you have no idea who you’ll vote for?

Definitely decided 4%
Leaning toward someone 9%
No idea who you’ll vote for 87%


I know he hasn’t even formally announced, but it looks like Mitt’s got some convincing to do, yet. With his background in business, I trust he’ll close the deal with many weary voters before too long. Until then, we’ll anticipate his announcement.

UPDATE: I didn’t even look long enough to notice this gem:

Which Republican candidate do you think is best able to handle health care issues?
Romney 31%
Paul 8%
Gingrich 7%
Palin 5%
Bachmann 3%
Giuliani 3%
Pawlenty 3%
Santorum 3%
Cain 2%
Daniels 1%
Huntsman *
Johnson *
Karger *
Someone else 2%
No opinion 32%


-Luke G.

Breaking: Mitch Daniels Will Not Run, Leaves Field Wide Open for Romney


#MyManMitt is the new #MyManMitch


Mitch Daniels will not run for President in 2012 -- does Mitt benefit?

POLITICO has the story:

Indiana Gov. Mitch Daniels told supporters in a midnight email early Sunday that he is opting against a 2012 presidential run, a decision that he said ultimately came down to family concerns.

“I hope this reaches you before the public news does,” Daniels wrote. “If so, please respect my confidence for the short time until I can make it known to all.”

“If you feel that this was a non-courageous or unpatriotic decision, I understand and will not attempt to persuade you otherwise. I only hope that you will accept my sincerity in the judgment I reached,” he wrote.

But it also is ultimately positive for Romney, who is increasingly able to cast himself as a stronger frontrunner.


What’s your take? Will this prove to be a positive for Romney’s chances?

Romney Dominating in New Hampshire: Poll Also Provides Evidence That RomneyCare Won’t Hurt Mitt Much

Suffolk University/WHDH New Hampshire 2012 GOP Nomination Survey 

(400 likely GOP primary voters were polled April 30 – May 2, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points.  Full poll results)

  • Mitt Romney 35%
  • Rudy Giuliani 8%
  • Ron Paul 8%
  • Donald Trump 8%
  • Sarah Palin 7%
  • Mike Huckabee 6%
  • Tim Pawlenty 5%
  • Michele Bachmann & Newt Gingrich 3% each
  • Rick Santorum & Herman Cain 2% each
  • John Bolton, Mitch Daniels, & Gary Johnson 1% each
  • Jon Huntsman, Fred Karger, Roy Moore, & Buddy Roemer 0% each
  • Undecided 13%

A quick tally shows that more people voted for Romney than Palin, Huckabee, Pawlenty, Bachman, Santorum, Gingrich, Cain, Daniels, Bolton, Johnson, Huntsman, Roemer, Moore and Karger COMBINED!  That’s called poll domination!!!

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

  • Mitt Romney 65% / 22% {+43%}
  • Tim Pawlenty 30% / 13% {+17%}
  • Mike Huckabee 41% / 31% {+10%}
  • Newt Gingrich 38% / 38% {0%}
  • Sarah Palin 42% / 46% {-4%}
  • Barack Obama 36% / 59% {-23%}
  • Donald Trump 27% / 56% {-29%}
If your first choice for the Republican Presidential nominee dropped out of the race, who would you vote for instead?
  • Mitt Romney 17%
  • Mike Huckabee 10%
  • Rudy Giuliani 9%
  • Newt Gingrich 8%

Another quick tally shows that a MAJORITY (52%) of these NH voters have Mitt as either their #1 or #2.  With the field certain to winnow (Trump, Rudy, Palin for sure not running, and unlikely runs for Newt, Huck, and Bachman) Romney is poised to have an even larger lead than this poll reflects

Despite who you’re personally voting for, who do you expect the next president will be – Barack Obama or one of the Republican candidates?

(more…)

Sachs/Mason-Dixon Poll Florida: Mitt Romney Top GOP, Obama loses to Romney and Huckabee

The poll, which was conducted April 4 through April 7 by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, also found Governor Romney leading with 23 percent supportamong a sample size of 400 likely Republican primary voters. In what seems to be developing into a crowded Republican primary field, 13 candidates were included in the poll, including Governor Mike Huckabee, real estate magnate Donald Trump, former House Speaker Newt Gingrich, Governor Tim Pawlenty and others.

400 LIKELY REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS
QUESTION: If the 2012 Republican primary were held today, which one of the following candidates would get your vote? (ORDER ROTATED)

Mitt Romney 23%
Mike Huckabee 18%
Donald Trump 13%
Newt Gingrich 11%
Tim Pawlenty 8%
Sarah Palin 5%
Mitch Daniels 4%
Ron Paul 3%
Michelle Bachman 1%
Rick Santorum 1%
Haley Barbour -
Undecided 13%

Head-to-Head: (Candidate/Obama/Undecided)

Mitt Romney 48/43/9 (+5)
Mike Huckabee 49/44/7 (+5)
Donald Trump 40/48/12 (-8)
Sarah Palin 39/51/10 (-12)

The poll, which was conducted April 4 through April 7 by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, also found Governor Romney leading with 23 percent support among a sample size of 400 likely Republican primary voters. A margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percent.

Crosstabs may be viewed HERE.

Mitt Romney Wins 2011 California Republican Party Straw Poll

After several rounds of voting, Mitt Romney won the California Republican Party straw poll:

“At the California Republican Convention late last month, former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney won a poll of preferred GOP candidates for president in 2012.

After eight rounds of voting, Romney came out on top, besting former House speaker Newt Gingrich (who garnered the second-highest amount of votes) and former U.S. ambassador to the United Nations, John Bolton. Big names like former Minnesota governor Tim Pawlenty and former Alaska governor Sarah Palin were knocked out in early rounds of voting.”

California is a crucial state for anyone hoping to become the next President of the United States since it carries a whopping 55 electoral votes.

In the summer of 2008, Mitt Romney purchased a home in coastal LaJolla, CA to enjoy “the waves” and be nearer to one of his sons who lives in nearby San Diego. Romney is known among the locals as a paper-plates-plastic-utensils down-to-earth guy.

When his book, “No Apology: The Case for American Greatness” was first published, Romney made three stops in California during his book tour.

Along with endorsing a number of CA candidates during the 2010 Primaries, Romney’s Free and Strong America PAC contributed to their campaigns. His endorsements included: Meg Whitman, Tony Strickland, Van Thai Tran, Carly Fiorina, and other political candidates.

In March 2010, Mitt Romney won the Magellan early 2012 Presidential Preference poll. He was also found to be the top Republican contender in California in a Public Policy Poll taken in  November 2010. He also came out on top in the Public Policy Poll taken in February 2011:

“In the presidential race, Mitt Romney continues to show strength in the West and in blue states. He leads California’s primary contest nominally, but the top four are all statistically tied. Romney has 22% over rare second-place finisher Newt Gingrich’s 18%, Sarah Palin’s 16%, and Mike Huckabee’s 15%. 12% prefer an unnamed candidate or are undecided. Ron Paul has a somewhat unusually high 10%, with Tim Pawlenty (3%), Mitch Daniels (2%), and John Thune (1%) about where they usually are.”

If you are in California and would like to help Mitt Romney in California, join the Californians for Romney 2012 on Facebook and help Mitt Romney become the next President of the United States!

~ Jared A.

Romney Ranked #1, New Natl Republican Senatorial Committee Obama Ad

At last, April has arrived! While today may be filled with high-jinx and tom-foolery, three political news analysts aren’t fooling when they state that the scramble for 2012 starts today:

Money, momentum and the race for the 2012 Republican nomination

The race for the 2012 Republican presidential nomination begins today.

Why? Because today marks the first day of the second fundraising quarter of the year. And anyone who is serious about running for president needs to prove between now and June 30 — the quarter’s end — that Republican donors are investing in them.

While money has mattered since political time immemoriam, it may matter more than usual in this GOP presidential fight for two reasons.

First, President Obama is setting himself up to be the greatest fundraising force in American politics. After collecting $750 million in the 2008 campaign, Obama re-election campaign manager Jim Messina has created a program for 400 majors donors to each collect $350,000 by the end of 2011.

The Fix is no math major, but that adds up to $140 million in 2011 alone (thanks, calculator!) if each of the donors can make their number. If 300 make the target — a more likely possibility — that’s still $105 million raised for the Obama re-election effort before a single vote has been cast on the Republican side.

While no Republican — not even former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney — will likely equal Obama in fundraising, any GOP candidate must prove an ability to collect some threshold amount of money over the next three months to prove that he (or she) would be financially viable against Obama next November.
[...]

The first indicator of momentum in any race, but especially a presidential contest, is money. Donors are, after all, investors and convincing them to buy in at the ground level is an early sign of momentum building. (Remember that Howard Dean’s out-of-nowhere candidacy first jumped onto the national radar screen when he raised $7.6 million in the second quarter of 2003.)

And, money follows money. Human nature tends to make us all want to be with the winner — cough, Yankee fans, cough — and the more a candidate raises early on, the more of a winner they look like.
[...]

(my emphasis)

Gov Romney is under no illusions about the progressive money machine he’s up against and the dollar amount it takes to survive a primary. He knows if his fix-it experience and get it done dauntlessness is going to rebuild America, he’s going to need a war chest full of money. From an earlier March fundraiser in NYC:

I think Mitt is a very prudent businessman. He’s very data driven. He knows what he needs to do and he’s focusing on it with laser-like intensity,” said [former MA Governor] Weld. “He sounded not just like a presidential candidate. He sounded like a president.”
[...]

In an interview with The Daily Beast, Eisenberg said his goal is to be out fundraising as much as he can to raise as much money as possible for Romney, and although $50 million may be the goal now, the final number for the entire campaign is much higher.

“I do believe that by the time we’ve reached November 2012…both presidential candidates, Romney and Obama, will have raised and spent a billion dollars,” Eisenberg said.

(my emphasis)

The Fix also ranks 10 potential GOP presidential contenders most likely to win the nomination (I begin at number five):

(more…)

CPAC 2011 is Over…

cpac clean up

The straw poll results have been announced, Allen West has finished speaking, most of the bloggers are off to the bars… CPAC 2011 is over and winding down.

Governor Mitt Romney gave a remarkable speech (with a special intro by Ann Romney), and performed very well in the straw poll.

We’ve had an extraordinary time here at the convention. We met a lot Romney fans, got acquainted with a number of our readers, had great discussions with all sorts of conservatives, and did a number of interviews with various media and blogs. We’ve also made some good connections that will help us in promoting our site, as well as networked with other pro-Romneyites that will help us in promoting Romney.

It doesn’t hurt that we probably sold a few of our shirts along the way (since most of us were sporting them through the halls.)

We want to give a big thanks to those who support us by reading our content, sharing links on Facebook and Twitter, and leaving comments on our posts. But the biggest thanks of this evening goes to those who donated to help us get here because our trip would not have happened otherwise. We still have some costs to make up and would still appreciate any purchases from our store to assist in bearing the financial burdens of the site.

Also (before I forget), thanks to Ross, David, Luke, Aaron, Jeff, and the many others who made the trip here to support Romney in the straw poll and listen to the great speakers of the conference. It is fun and enjoyable, but still a sacrifice of funds and time away from family and work.

This is going to be a fun and interesting year in politics as the GOP primary shifts into gear – starting in 3..2..1…

Students swamp Governor Romney after he delivers his speech at CPAC - Feb 11, 2011.



MRC’s own Rebel Ross shot a little video footage of the surprise post-speech party for Governor Romney:


“Romney! Romney! Romney!”


UPDATE by Jayde – CPAC 2011 Official Video “Taking America Back” Day TWO (2/11/11 – the day Mitt spoke):



Additional links:
CPAC 2011 Official Video “Taking America Back” Day ONE

The importance of CPAC

~Nate G.

CPAC 2011 Starts Today! Here is What You Need to Know…

Allen West CPAC 2011 Keynote Speaker

CPAC 2011 Keynote Speaker: Florida Rep. Allen West

The annual Conservative Political Action Conference is upon us! Thousands of conservatives are converging on the Marriott Wardman Park Hotel in Washington, DC to listen to speakers and discussion panels featuring the most prominent conservative leaders of our nation. The 3-day conference also features a highly anticipated straw poll for GOP 2012 contenders (guess who we are rooting for.)

Let’s do this in Q&A format… (please note all times are Eastern)

Q: JUST TELL US… WHEN IS MITT ROMNEY GOING TO SPEAK?
A: Okay, okay. Romney is set to speak Friday morning at 10:30.

Q: Will I be able to watch somehow if I’m not there in person?
A: I believe live video will be available for the whole conference. Go to http://video.cpac.org/ and register. There are videos of speakers from last year available right now. Update: Live video is also available here: http://www.politico.com/livestream/
Q: Who will be the Keynote Speaker this year?
A: Florida Rep. Allen West was confirmed just yesterday to give the closing Keynote speech on Saturday. Glenn Beck was the Keynote speaker last year, and Rush Limbaugh the year before that. Sarah Palin was actually invited to give the speech, but turned it down last week citing a very busy February schedule.

Q: When does the straw poll voting close?
A: Friday 5:00 PM

Q: When are the results of the straw poll announced?
A: Saturday 5:15 PM

Q: Who will be on the ballot for the straw poll?
A: 1. Michele Bachmann, 2. Haley Barbour, 3. Herman Cain, 4. Chris Christie, 5. Mitch Daniels, 6. Newt Gingrich, 7. Mike Huckabee, 8. Jon Huntsman, 9. Gary Johnson, 10. Sarah Palin, 11. Ron Paul, 12. Tim Pawlenty, 13. Mitt Romney, 14. Rick Santorum, 15. John Thune, 16. Other, 17. Undecided

Q: Will Mitt Romney win the straw poll?
A: Doubtful. Ron Paul won last year and is favored to repeat this year as well. The Campaign for Liberty has made no secret of its intention to flood the poll for Ron Paul, just as they were successful at doing last year. Mitt Romney did win the poll in the years 2007 – 2009. My guess is he’ll take a strong second.

Q: Do you know the results of past years?
A: As a matter of fact I do..
2010: Paul 31, Romney 22, Palin 7, Pawlenty 6, Pence 5, six others
2009: Romney 20, Jindal 14, Paul 13, Palin 13, Gingrich 10, Huckabee 7, four others
2008: Romney* 35, McCain* 34, Huckabee 12, Paul 12
2007: Romney 21, Giuliani 17, Brownback 15, Gingrich 14, McCain 12
2006: George Allen 22, McCain 20, Giuliani 12, Rice 10, Frist 6, Tancredo 5, Romney 5, Gingrich 5, Santorum 3, Pataki 3

** It should be noted that Romney announced the suspension of his campaign during his 2008 speech. Prior to his speech 25% of the votes were already in, with Romney leading McCain 44-27. The remaining votes placed after Romney’s speech were in McCain’s favor 37-32.

Q: Do you have video of Romney’s speeches in past years?
A: Yes, we have 2010, 2009, 2008, and 2007. All include video and transcript.

Q: Will any Team MRC members be there?
A: Yes, there will in fact be 5 of us there on site, and we will be joined by Jeff of NYforMitt as well. Nancy French of Evangelical for Mitt will also be in attendance. Aaron, Ross and David, are already there. Luke and I will be arriving on Friday.

Q: How will you guys be covering the on-goings at the conference?
A: Excellent question. We have been afforded a seat in the blogger’s lounge (yes, we’re legit) where we will do write-up for posting on our blog here. We will also be live-tweeting the entire conference from our mega-smart phones – providing news, insights, photos and video as quick as our stubby thumbs will permit. There is live widget at the top of our home page where you can follow all of our tweets. Another option is to follow the list directly on Twitter.com. Or, for the more impatient (and more adventurous) you can try this pre-configured tweetgrid: http://bit.ly/CPACTwits. The grid follows @RomneyCentral, @AaronGundy, @NateGundy, @C0mm1tt3d (Ross), @DavePulfoo, @LukeGundy, @NYforMitt,and @E4Mitt. Other suggested search terms: ‘#cpac11′, ‘Romney’, and ‘MittRomney’.

Q: Will there be any official meet up for Mitt fans and/or MRC readers?
A: I’m not sure. I’d like to call together a gathering to meet everyone and perhaps enjoy some refreshments, but do not have a time/location yet. We will advise if we pick a time and place to meet up. I would hope to do so Friday since that is when Romney is speaking and most supporters would be there.

Q: Do have a schedule of who is speaking and when?
A: Yes. Below is actually an abbreviated schedule. The full 19-page event schedule can be downloaded here: CPAC Schedule (PDF)

Thursday
9:15 Rep. Michelle Bachmann (MN)
9:45 Sen. Ron Johnson (WI)
10:15 Sen. Pat Toomey (PA)
11:15 Rep. Kristi Noem (SD)
11:45 Rep. Raul Labrador (ID)
12:00 Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (KY)
12:30 Newt Gingrich
1:00 Panel – Reagan at 100: Model for the Next Generation
2:00 Rick Santorum
2:30 Panel – Traditional Marriage and Society
3:15 Wayne LaPierre – CEO of NRA
3:45 Sen. Rand Paul (KY)
4:00 Award presentation to Donald Rumsfeld “Defender of the Constitution”
4:30 Rep. Paul Ryan (WI)

Friday
9:00 Panel – Public Attitudes Toward Security
9:30 Panel – Cutting Spending by the Spenders
10:30 Mitt Romney
11:00 Gov. Luis Fortuño (PR)
11:15 Rep. Tom Price (GA)
11:30 Rep. Marsha Blackburn (TN)
11:55 Presentation “Blogger of the Year” Award to Javier Manjarres of The Shark Tank
12:00 Panel – It’s the Spending Stupid! The Tea Party and the Political Landscape
1:00 Sen John Barrasso (WY)
1:30 Sen. John Thune (SD)
2:00 Sen. Mike Lee (UT)
2:15 Panel – Do We Need a Constitutional Amendment to Stop the Spending?
3:00 Tim Pawlenty
3:30 Rep. Ron Paul (TX)
4:00 Gov. Rick Perry (TX)
4:30 Herman Cain

Saturday
9:00 Andrew Breitbart
9:30 Gov. Haley Barbour (MS)
10:00 David Horowitz
10:15 Panel – Defending Free Speech on Campus
11:00 Rep. Connie Mack (FL)
11:30 Panel – Bleeding America Dry: The Threat of the Public Sector Unions
12:15 Panel – Repealing Obamacare: In the States, In Courts, and In Congress
1:00 Ambassador John Bolton
1:30 Panel – The Nuclear Threat: China and North Korea
2:20 Lifetime Achievement Award Presentation to Pat Boone
2:30 Panel – How to Think About Afghanistan
3:15 Jonah Goldberg
3:45 Ann Coulter
4:15 Rep. Peter Roskam (IL)
4:30 Panel – Changing the Conversation: Winning with Minorities, Women, and Independents
5:15 Straw Poll Results
5:30 Key Note Speaker Rep. Allen West (FL)

Q: Wow, sounds like a lot of fun and a lot of work. Anything I can do to help?
A: Yes, yes, and yes. Our costs to attend are substantial, and we are not paid for efforts. We could certainly appreciate sponsorship to help recoup some costs for the event (none of us being independently wealthy :) ) We’ve already raised $500, and would like to raise about $500 more. Donate at the link below, or buy something in our Mitt Romney 2012 store. All of our items in the store are already paid for now so any purchase would go directly to helping us out a CPAC. Thanks a ton!





~Nate Gunderson

New Hampshire GOP Straw Poll Results: Romney Wins Big Time!

Some of us here at MRC have been watching twitter feeds with much anticipation this morning, waiting for the results to come in from the New Hampshire GOP presidential straw poll. The straw poll (sponsored by ABC News and WMUR-TV) took place moments ago in Derry, NH and was the first-ever straw poll of state Republican officials. Reportedly, the turnout at this state GOP gathering was “highest in memory“.

The results leaked in the form of a tweet from Amy Walter’s Twitter page:

Results of NH GOP Presidential Straw Poll

Excellent showing for Romney, whose whopping numbers are greater than the sum of 2nd, 3rd, 4th, & 5th place finishers!

Interesting side notes from Nate Gunderson: One significant point to make about this is that convention delegates are strong conservative voters. Throw in the fact the indies also vote in the primary (and Romney has an even bigger lead amongst them) the actual primary voting margin would be higher. ALSO, the NHGOP selected a Tea Party backed candidate for NHGOP Chair — these same Tea Partying members selected Romney as their candidate of choice. In summary, Romney has widespread appeal amongst indies, mods, and cons alike. That is a recipe for success!

-Aaron Gundy- Follow @AaronGundy on Twitter

Update: reports say 273 of the 493 attendees participated in the straw poll, but the original percentages posted by WMUR only come to whole integers if there were 278 votes. Here are the results as I’ve tallied them. ~Nate (HT BOSMAN and RightSpeak for the graph)
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