The most recent polling information from Michigan shows Romney leading by nearly four points over Obama. Michigan, a state that traditionally votes democratic in Presidential elections, is Mitt Romney’s home state.
The polling results seem to suggest that Romney has gained support in the state since the announcement of Paul Ryan as his running mate. Ryan is from neighboring Wisconsin, which may have been a factor in the uptick in Michigan support.
“Romney has identified a clear game changer if his strategy is to divide the Midwest and blow a bugle in President Obama’s Midwestern Strategy”, states Eric Foster, chief pollster and President of Foster McCollum White & Associates. “Romney may be attempting to isolate Illinois and Pennsylvania by having Michigan and Wisconsin in play. That also limited Obama’s opportunity to strengthen resource and advertising in Ohio and Indiana if Michigan and Wisconsin are competitive”.
In spite of national criticism of the Ryan selection and budget plan, our findings suggest that Michigan voters are viewing both as positives for Romney. 36.11% of Michigan voters are more likely to vote for Romney because of the Paul Ryan selection while only 27.90% are less likely to vote for Romney. That is a positive statistical advantage for Romney of 8.21 points or 29.42%.
The latest polling from Wisconsin also shows Romney edging out Obama in what is supposed to be Obama-safe territory. What do you think — is this a trend we’ll start seeing across the upper mid-west? Fingers crossed.