The Keystone State race just got a little more interesting. According to a poll released last night by Public Policy Polling Governor Romney leads former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum by a 5 point margin, and whereas Romney was down by 18 points last month that makes for a 23 point swing in one month!
The PA numbers:
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Rick Santorum has staked his continued candidacy hopes in winning his home state. Pennsylvania is one of five states to hold their primary contests coming up on April 24. The other four states (NY, DE, CT, RI) are each a “gimme” for the Governor. If Romney wins a clean sweep of those four PLUS Pennsylvania… well it will officially be more over than it already is now.
Anyone else think it’s quite telling that Santorum may lose his home state, and Romney won his 72-12? A 60 point margin!
Below the fold: cross-tab takeaways, and a “When will Santorum exit the race?” poll.
Thoughts on the cross-tabs for this poll:
- 36% think Santorum has a “realistic chance” at winning the nomination. How do you figure? He has won approx 24% of the delegates so far, and need 80% of the remaining to seal the deal. If Ronald Reagan himself were reincarnated today, even he would find that a difficult feat.
- Santorum leads by 1 point if you remove Gingrich from the poll.
- Romney’s poll numbers improve as you up the age categories, proving once again that people generally get wiser as they get older.
- The winner of the “very liberal” subgroup is…. Ron Paul, by 11 points.
- Romney favorability numbers amongst Evangelicals in only lukewarm (49-40, +9) compared to Santorum’s (72-21, +51). More than anything this just shows that identity politics is alive and well in the GOP (at least the PA GOP).
Sorry, there are no polls available at the moment.