With two and a half days left until the caucus process in Iowa begins, the wheels on the Perry bus may be about to spin off. Four days ago, I made the predictions that Gingrich would finish “4th, maybe 3rd” and that Perry would finish 5th.
After seeing a lot more news since the 27th, I believe Gingrich and Perry are wrangling for 5th place, with the loser to receive 6th place, both possibly being surpassed by the flailing Bachmann (my hope is Gingrich gets number 6 trophy, a tad above Huntsman who said “no” to Iowa). BTW, Romney is at 77.2% in Intrade to become the GOP nominee and at 50.0% to win the Iowa caucuses.
Today’s Martin & Haberman article in Politico seems to provide outstanding insight into the pre-game infighting within the Perry team. Getting ready for the Perry moonwalk:
But even as they hold out hope that Perry can find a way back into contention, some of his advisers have begun laying the groundwork to explain how the Texas governor bombed so dramatically in a race that he seemed to control for a brief period upon his entry in August.
Their explanations for the nosedive come against the backdrop of a campaign riven by an intense, behind-the-scenes power struggle . . .
“There has never been a more ineptly orchestrated, just unbelievably subpar campaign for president of the United States than this one,” said a senior Perry adviser.
The failure to get on the Virginia ballot earlier this month, a plight shared with Newt Gingrich, has been a fresh a source of embarrassment for some of the Perry strategists.
“I’ve never seen anything like this,” said a strategist. “At least not at this level for this serious of a candidate. You see a campaign like this for Herman Cain, you say, ‘Well, that’s what you’d expect. But for a governor from one of the biggest states in the country and someone who can raise a ton of money? It’s mind-boggling. I’m more offended by that than losing.”
(emphasis added) — [the entire article is very insightful into presidential campaigning]
Remember all the hyperbole when Perry joined the race — about how he had never lost an election? The first thought I had when I heard that statement was that he might not know what he was getting into when running for President.
“Confidence is preparation. Everything else is beyond your control.” — Richard Kline