Poll Roll for Mitt Romney: McClatchy-Marist, NH, Tea Party, American Research Group


Approval numbers for Mitt Romney are on a Poll roll.

And, he’s not even in the race, yet. For the most part, he’s been busy behind the scenes.

Here’s the tally…

McClatchy-Marist Poll: Romney neck and neck with Obama; Trump, Palin far behind

A McClatchy-Marist poll released on Wednesday shows Mitt Romney in a statistical deadheat with President Barack Obama. Obama leads Romney, 46 percent to 45 percent.

The one-point margin represents a dramatic improvement for the former Massachusetts governor, who trailed Obama 51 percent to 38 percent in a McClatchy-Marist poll conducted this past January.

Mike Huckabee was the second-most competitive Republican polled, trailing Obama 48 percent to 43 percent, also a large improvement from the January poll, in which Obama led 50 percent to 38 percent.

However, other potential Republican candidates do not fair as well. Despite Donald Trump’s recent media spotlight and self-generated presidential buzz, the real estate tycoon trails Obama 54 percent to 38 percent.

Former vice-presidential nominee Sarah Palin fares even worse, trailing Obama 56 percent to 34 percent.

Read more here.

NH poll shows Romney slightly ahead of Obama

CONCORD, N.H.—A poll of New Hampshire voters shows President Barack Obama beating nearly all of the potential Republican candidates, with two exceptions: Mitt Romney and someone who isn’t even considering a run.

The poll conducted by Dartmouth’s Nelson A. Rockefeller Center shows Romney slightly ahead of Obama. Former Secretary of State Colin Powell was added to the mix to test the perceived absence of leadership qualities among the candidates, and voters preferred him to Obama by a wide margin.

In matchups with other Republicans, Obama was well ahead of Sarah Palin, Haley Barbour, Ron Paul, Tim Pawlenty and Donald Trump and slightly ahead of Mike Huckabee.

Follow up here.

Three Cups Of Tea Party For Romney


One of the big questions for 2012: which Republican will win the affection of Tea Party voters. While ex-Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin and Rep. Michele Bachmann are the most closely identified with the Tea Party cause, the latest poll finds that it’s ex-Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney who does best among voters who identify as Tea Party supporters.

In a head to head match-up against President Barack Obama, seventy percent of those who say they are Tea Party supporters say they’ll vote for Romney compared to 61 percent for Palin and 60 percent for Bachmann. Ex-Gov. Mike Huckabee narrowly trails Romney, taking 69 percent of the Tea Party vote.

According to the poll, 37 percent of these Tea Party supporters say they are Republicans, 11 percent identify as Democrats and 47 percent identify as independents. But, when independents are asked to pick which party they lean toward, the Tea Party universe looks a whole lot more Republican. With leaners, 68 percent of these self-identified Tea Party supporters say they are Republicans, 21 percent are Democrats and 11 percent are independents.
[...]
Romney also runs strongest among those who identify themselves as Republican, taking 85 percent of the GOP vote against President Obama. The candidate who does the worst among Republicans? “The Donald” who takes just 68 percent of the Republican vote.

Additional info here.

American Research Group (ARG)
2012 Iowa Republican Caucus – Poll taken among likely Republican caucus participants (4/20/11):

Mike Huckabee 18%
Mitt Romney 17%
Newt Gingrich 12%
Donald Trump 10%
Michele Bachmann 9%
Rudy Giuliani 8%
Mitch Daniels 4%
Sarah Palin 4%
Rand Paul 4%
Ron Paul 3%
Rick Santorum 2%
Tim Pawlenty 1%
Fred Karger 0%
Buddy Roemer 0%
Haley Barbour 0%
Herman Cain 0%
Jon Huntsman 0%
Gary Johnson 0%
George Pataki 0%
Undecided 8%

See details here. (Note: All emphasis in poll reports are mine.)

To all who are considering a 2012 presidential run -including Donald Trump – Governor Romney is saying, “Come on in; the water’s fine. The more the merrier!” Just one of the many reasons I admire The Gov.

But… for you who clicked on the fold to read this entire article, I give you:

UPDATE: Trump says Mitt Romney won’t win the GOP nomination. Read here.


► Jayde Wyatt

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8 Responses to Poll Roll for Mitt Romney: McClatchy-Marist, NH, Tea Party, American Research Group

  1. Graham says:

    I really hope Huckabee realizes that he can’t win and stays out of it. All he’ll do is hurt our chances of having a committed conservative president.

  2. Katrina says:

    Graham, I have the same hope. And I hope he leaves his robo-callers in the basement this time, too. We don’t need anti-religious smear campaigns in the middle of the primaries. I truly hope Governor Huckabee has gotten over his ‘concerns’ about Governor Romney’s religion.

  3. Tracey says:

    I thought that maybe GMR was doing well because of name recognition. But Donald Trump and Sarah Palin are pretty well known too. Good sign for things to come.

  4. Graham says:

    Srsly. I got one of those robo-calls in NV three years ago. Called the newspaper, they didn’t say squat about it.

  5. This poll emphasizes why it would be a terrible mistake for Romney to consider bypassing Iowa. He is right in the thick of it.

    The chances of Huckabee running look about 50-50, and even if he does, he’ll have a late start and limited resources. Huck’s Iowa guy is now working for Michele Bachmann.

    Meanwhile there are several in that poll who likely won’t run. I’m not entirely convinced Trump is looking for more than Celebrity Apprentice ratings. Giuliani hasn’t given indication outside of one interesting sentence in a Piers Morgan interview. Daniels and Palin are looking far from certain… Romney has opportunity to pick up votes there by proving himself to be a devoted candidate as well as the established frontrunner.

    NH is the must-win state, but taking 4 of the early 5 (IA, NH, NV, FL) could give him a quick KO in this primary. That makes Iowa too valuable to pass up.

  6. Singsai says:

    The constitution of this great nation had separated the religion and politic apart so if any one still talk about religion here he is still live in the 3rd world or in the communist country like Cuba, North Korea,Vietnam,Laos,here we are choosing a president we are not choosing a religion. Mitt is the most experienced and most qualify for the presidency than any other including Mr. Obama.Mitt is the strongest and smartest to beat Obama because Mitt love America more than Obama did,Obama is laughing attacking America around the world,Obama had violated the America constitutional went to war with Libya without congress,please stand with our heroes,our patriot to take back America for America, no more Obama agenda from his father’s dream that will change the United States of America to United of Obama ville.

  7. Mark says:

    @Singsai
    great comment

  8. Jon E. S. says:

    I doubt Romney would consider bypassing Iowa. I also doubt that Huckabee will run. But he has to give the impression he is running so he can make as much $$ on his latest book. Also, it seems the Fox News income is too good a gig to drop. But I’m sure he’ll knock Romney as much as he can along the way.