The poll, which was conducted April 4 through April 7 by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, also found Governor Romney leading with 23 percent supportamong a sample size of 400 likely Republican primary voters. In what seems to be developing into a crowded Republican primary field, 13 candidates were included in the poll, including Governor Mike Huckabee, real estate magnate Donald Trump, former House Speaker Newt Gingrich, Governor Tim Pawlenty and others.
400 LIKELY REPUBLICAN PRIMARY VOTERS
QUESTION: If the 2012 Republican primary were held today, which one of the following candidates would get your vote? (ORDER ROTATED)
Mitt Romney 23%
Mike Huckabee 18%
Donald Trump 13%
Newt Gingrich 11%
Tim Pawlenty 8%
Sarah Palin 5%
Mitch Daniels 4%
Ron Paul 3%
Michelle Bachman 1%
Rick Santorum 1%
Haley Barbour -
Undecided 13%
Head-to-Head: (Candidate/Obama/Undecided)
Mitt Romney 48/43/9 (+5)
Mike Huckabee 49/44/7 (+5)
Donald Trump 40/48/12 (-8)
Sarah Palin 39/51/10 (-12)
The poll, which was conducted April 4 through April 7 by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, also found Governor Romney leading with 23 percent support among a sample size of 400 likely Republican primary voters. A margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percent.
Crosstabs may be viewed HERE.
Cue the complaining from Ron Paul’s fans.
Side note though, this has Trump and Palin beating Obama by larger margins than Romney or Huck. Did I read that wrong? Maybe the numbers are in the wrong place.
If it’s correct, it makes me question the polling pool.
If it’s incorrect, well yeah…
Yeah, well, I’m not going to vote for anybody but Romney and I think a lot of other Reagan Democrats and Independents are going to feel the same way as we get closer to the actual nomination drop-dead dates. Trump isn’t serious, Palin cannot win the general and Huck isn’t serious either. Trump, Palin and Huck are all in it for self promotion.
The poll is showing that Mitt Romney and Mike Huckabee both beat Obama in Florida by five points. Mr. Romney gets 48% to Obama’s 43%. Mr. Huckabee gets 49% to Obama’s 44%. Donald Trump and Sarah Palin both lose to Obama. Donald Trump loses 48% to 40%, and Sarah Palin loses 51% to 39%.
The other interesting result is that Tim Pawlenty has pulled ahead of Sarah Palin in the GOP contest. Maybe people just aren’t voting for her because she seems to be out of the race. I like Sarah Palin, but I don’t believe that she will run. Her voters already seem to be going elsewhere, and yet her declining numbers don’t put Mike Huckabee in the lead.
BOSMAN, do you have the Palin and Trump numbers backwards? Shouldn’t it be
Donald Trump 40/48/12 (-8)
Sarah Palin 39/51/10 (-12)
?
The article has been updated. Thanks for the heads up, guys!
Hi Ric,
Obama’s numbers are the second set, you read it like: (Candidate/Obama/Undecided)
So Obama beats Palin by 12, Trump by 8.
This is good news for the moment; however, Florida’s primary is a long way off. Still, it it encouraging that Mitt is ahead in this vital Southern state.