NEW POLL: Mitt Romney Leads Among Tea Party, Independents, College Graduates, and Women


Marist 2012 GOP Poll Gingrich Huck Palin T-Paw Romney Christie
All GOP and GOP leaners 10% 16% 13% 2% 20% 9%
Independents 10% 17% 11% 1% 26% 10%
Republicans 10% 16% 14% 2% 17% 8%
Tea Party Supporters 13% 17% 16% 2% 19% 10%
Income < $50k 6% 13% 20% 1% 20% 7%
Income > $50k 11% 20% 10% 3% 22% 9%
No college degree 10% 15% 18% 1% 17% 6%
College graduate 10% 19% 7% 3% 24% 12%
Under 45 5% 19% 13% 2% 19% 7%
45 or older 12% 15% 13% 2% 21% 10%
Men 8% 18% 12% 2% 18% 10%
Women 11% 14% 14% 2% 23% 7%
Obama Approval 6% 15% 5% 2% 1% 6%
Obama Disapproval 10% 16% 14% 2% 23% 9%
Landline 10% 16% 13% 1% 22% 8%
Cell Phone 8% 17% 13% 5% 8% 11%
November 23, 2010 – Marist Poll N=337 MOE +/- 5.5%

*Note: the original poll included 11 potential candidates and an undecided column. Due to the large table size I reduced the number of candidates showing to fit on our page. ~Nate G.

MY TAKE:
1. The most interesting statistic here is that Romney is up among Tea Party supporters — especially after recent comments from TP ‘leaders’ saying that Tea Party supporters won’t give Romney a pass. This isn’t the first time he’s lead among this group, infact there’s been several polls now showing Romney the preferred candidate among Tea Party supporters …So what’s with the recent media reports saying the Tea Party will hurt Mitt’s chances?!

2. No surprise that Republican-leaning Independents are flocking towards Romney; he’s appealed to that demographic all along (which, might I mention, is huge for electability in a general election).

3. Notice Romney’s appeal among people approve of Obama: 1% — Romney also leading among those who disapprove of Obama.

4. While tying among men voters, Romney dominates the women category. Is it the hair?

5. Fascinating how Chris Christie (who has said many times that he has no intention of running), is walloping Tim Pawlenty (who has made no secret of his presidential intentions).

6. Not sure if Gingrich really plans to throw his name into the race; but, should he choose not to run, I see Romney as the major beneficiary as polls often show he and Romney share a similar voting base. He takes a good chunk of the electorate in this poll, and past polls have shown that that chunk comes, primarily, from what would normally be Romney support (if Gingrich was not on the ballot).

Please feel free to share your thoughts below!

~Aaronius

About Aaron Gundy:

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6 Responses to NEW POLL: Mitt Romney Leads Among Tea Party, Independents, College Graduates, and Women

  1. I think…. that table looks awesome!

  2. Romney leads among Tea Party AND independents… uh oh.

  3. Kevin Hansen says:

    Just because the Tea Party leaders say they won’t give him a pass doesn’t mean he hasn’t earned the support of those following the Tea Party.

  4. phyllis says:

    Leads among tea party is huge.

    Newt is running, as well as Huck. Palin isn’t. Just a hunch….but if she does, Huck and Palin split the vote in Iowa and SC…Romney wins…

  5. Illinoisguy says:

    I love this poll. To where has the Pawlenty 6% disappeared? I told all my friends on these sites that it was an anamoly showing him that high, but hey knew better of course. I’m always the rum dumb that just happens to get a lot of things right.
    If only a few of the tea party leaders would step forward an back Mitt, it would be a huge boost. Many grass roots people are already there, but others are being held back by his leaders.

  6. Illinoisguy says:

    The most amazing thing is that Mitt is polling ahead in spite of the fact that he is purposely trying to fly under the radar right now. Palin is doing all she can to stay relevant, and Mitt still polls well ahead of her.