Romney Garners 31% Lead Over Huckabee, Palin in Early Florida Poll
Yes, of course it is very early to place huge stock in such polls, but we can’t help but be drawn to any early indication of what might possibly happen in 2012. With that in mind I present the results of the Public Policy Polling‘s survey of Florida Republican primary voters:
If the Republican candidates for President in 2012 were Mike Huckabee, Sarah Palin, and Mitt Romney who would you vote for?
52% Mitt Romney
21% Mike Huckabee
18% Sarah Palin
14% Undecided
I don’t think I need to remind our readers how important of state Florida in the primary schedules with it’s 57 winner-takes-all delegates. Cross-tabs from the survey show that results are basically the same whether the polled Republicans were of conservative, moderate, or liberal ideology.
Not to be excluded from the report is the great news that Romney also holds large lead in an identical poll Colorado. This one isn’t quite headline news as Romney overwhelmingly won Colorado in the 2008 primary caucus. The results for Colorado PPP poll:
Colorado:
44% Mitt Romney
25% Sarah Palin
17% Mike Huckabee
14% Undecided
For full results of the Florida and Colorado polls, including cross-tabs, click here.
Other recent polls:
PPP Texas:
32% Mitt Romney
29% Mike Huckabee
23% Sarah Palin
15% Undecided
PPP New Mexico:
33% Mitt Romney
32% Sarah Palin
18% Mike Huckabee
17% Undecided
For full results of the Feb. 26 Texas and New Mexico polls, including cross-tabs, click here.
Magellan Strategies California,
31% Romney
18% Palin
13% Huckabee
12% Gingrich
08% Paul
03% Other
03% Pawlenty
12% Undecided
For full results of the March 4 California poll, including cross-tabs, click here.
Mitt ’12!
~Nate Gunderson
(HT to BOSMAN, one of our readers for the story.)
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Of course some people on twitter have already said that that’s were Giuliani was at this time 4 years ago. That is true, but there are many factors to suggest a much different outcome in 2012 and for Romney maintain support through to the primaries. The most basic point though is that Giuliani had no early state strategy, he bet solely on winning Florida.
Good news for Mitt. Let’s hope he refines his talking points re: RomneyCare, because once the word gets out that there’s little difference between it and ObamaCare, the heat will be on.
Go Mitt!
@Brian
I don’t know how people can say that a 2000+ page document (Obamacare) can be just a little different than a 70 page document (MassCare). I’m sure those 2000+ extra pages of legislation amount to a heckuvalot of difference.
My only qualms with the PPP polls is that Palin and Huckabee appeal to the same type of voter (Social Conservatives/ Evangelicals). They are clearly splitting the vote in these three-way polls. This is a neat trick by PPP. Throw in T-paw, Daniels, Gingrich, and Thune and it tightens up considerably. I don’t think Huck will run anyway. Having said that, Mitt is clearly the front-runner in these two . I think it’s a lot closer than this poll would indicate, however.